South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-09-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d2d5d1de05d5ee17f3388a09b5897d92b192d54cce33c84d99cd1f2ec140b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.83 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.19 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 1,592$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.1 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 47c | 1,139$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 46c | 892.11$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 54c | 539.02$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 51c | 529.28$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 52c | 510.42$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 47c | 356.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…084fbacked No | 34c | 319.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 307.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed No | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…0ffebacked Yes | 77c | 100.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 49c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…ad03backed Yes | 51c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-09-18?this page
- Will LDU de Quito vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-09-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.