Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Stuttgart?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5b5c8911a0392b548812b80eceb6259b0162c33037e94b92107782545cadda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 46c | 2,885$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.28 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 54c | 2,817$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 2,556$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.86 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.08 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…bcc3backed Yes | 51c | 1,931$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,612$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…5d79backed Yes | 51c | 1,450$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 1,226$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 929.64$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.18 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 51c | 910.29$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 58c | 866$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 49c | 599.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 562$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.18 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 357.41$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 50c | 297.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 56c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 51c | 204.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…548cbacked Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…00bfbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…1f61backed Yes | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…e36cbacked Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…be51backed No | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…70a8backed Yes | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…c752backed No | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…b8a5backed Yes | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…64bcbacked No | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…28dbbacked Yes | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…69e9backed No | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…4f8cbacked No | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…30afbacked Yes | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…9d26backed No | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…6ad1backed No | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…c48ebacked Yes | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bf…1dd6backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…e799backed No | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…13febacked No | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…75f8backed Yes | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…a807backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…a82dbacked No | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…2307backed Yes | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…afcfbacked Yes | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…d42abacked No | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…f134backed Yes | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa865…a2c3backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…3c5abacked No | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…fcf7backed Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…6ad1backed Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…01cfbacked No | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…47cabacked Yes | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…13ecbacked No | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…0fc4backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…f6d7backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…2daebacked Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…fc5abacked No | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed Yes | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215e…f3fabacked Yes | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…07c0backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…20bfbacked No | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…b0cabacked No | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…df23backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…87d2backed Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…b1febacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…df07backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…2a65backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…7f9bbacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…9607backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…1777backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…9063backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…3b4abacked Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…ba7bbacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…c8b0backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…4a97backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…9cb4backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed No | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e8…6827backed No | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…7f0ebacked Yes | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…9fc2backed No | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…5cd2backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d58…fd3cbacked Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41db…0d57backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…f8efbacked Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…d38ebacked No | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…0ac0backed No | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…5c35backed No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…362bbacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Stuttgart?this page
- Will Stuttgart beat Borussia Dortmund?Yes won
- Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.