Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Roma beat Union St-Gilloise?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ab913c62b7f0620455404aa979d35e8c92dc123c43163a1e24019a7ed757ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,753$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 72c | 2,947$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 46c | 2,947$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 59c | 2,345$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 59c | 1,610$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.09 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 1,250$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.4 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 55c | 1,242$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,208$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…3f87backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 41c | 375$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 41c | 314.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…d566backed Yes | 41c | 241.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 41c | 231.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 55c | 179.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…ea32backed Yes | 41c | 143.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…f500backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfc…06bbbacked Yes | 41c | 118.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…f978backed Yes | 41c | 107.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…2909backed Yes | 42c | 61.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…f3f0backed Yes | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…b821backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…349bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…77f6backed Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…485ebacked Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…3d6ebacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…3e00backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcf…f97abacked Yes | 42c | 31.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…889abacked Yes | 41c | 29.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…377dbacked Yes | 47c | 27.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…74abbacked Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…34bcbacked Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…68c9backed Yes | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…e800backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roma beat Union St-Gilloise?this page
- Will Union St-Gilloise beat Roma?No won
- Will the match between Union St-Gilloise and Roma end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.