Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat Monaco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6833fc8a87fb47bea27387c0e94a8c7007c4b0c514fcc6cff605eae61b8ae768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 40c | 2,468$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.01 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 61c | 1,649$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 41c | 1,118$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.32 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 41c | 987.58$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.43 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 60c | 901.06$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.53 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 58c | 758.62$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 607$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 61c | 393.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 41c | 183$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 59c | 103.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 60c | 55.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 61c | 49.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…0df4backed No | 40c | 40.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…b0b4backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…891abacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdd…bb7abacked Yes | 59c | 32.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…eb13backed No | 41c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…3808backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…3e49backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…fb8cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…185abacked Yes | 60c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan beat Monaco?this page
- Will Monaco beat Inter Milan?No won
- Will the match between Inter Milan and Monaco end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.