Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841fe46ec4dc5b1c57f693878c0bfbd33ac1b576f1e17a0af1be2911c3c9fd40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 23c | 27,440$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301.76 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 19,637$15,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.77 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 2,299$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.75 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 25c | 2,084$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,452$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 71c | 563.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 76c | 339.55$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 258.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 13c | 254$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 24c | 247.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…685bbacked Yes | 75c | 214.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 26c | 210.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 76c | 188.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 26c | 170.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 80c | 107.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 27c | 99.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 98.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9581…1232backed Yes | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…04febacked Yes | 74c | 73.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 54.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…6576backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked Yes | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.