South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-09-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be6bc430b07eea84032cfe0e4521eb57eb12184f569816b03335c2d30110664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 2,093$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.04 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,084$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 37c | 997.59$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.48 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 31c | 764.11$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.03 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 62c | 499.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.99 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed No | 66c | 468.95$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked No | 66c | 454.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 43c | 364.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 324.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 40c | 289.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 37c | 268.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 39c | 254.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 71c | 230.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 170.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 37c | 85.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 63c | 85.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Yes | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 39c | 45.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…0fc7backed Yes | 37c | 29.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-09-22?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-09-22?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.