MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f6ed2cd3235ed99e78aabe6e71c7ed14f2b8e69ec00010834ac9d36a6a4c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cardinals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $663,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 351,959$132,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,027.47 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 62c | 76,053$47,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,767.3 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 63c | 58,941$37,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,653.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 37c | 44,909$16,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,441.1 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 62c | 38,000$23,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,309.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 63c | 31,940$20,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,817.8 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 62c | 25,332$15,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,625.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cubs | 62c | 24,100$14,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,158 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cubs | 63c | 19,875$12,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.75 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Cubs | 63c | 19,612$12,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 18c | 16,910$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 62c | 10,411$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.57 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…87afbacked Cardinals | 39c | 10,002$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Cubs | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.92 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Cubs | 62c | 6,865$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.52 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cardinals | 24c | 6,295$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.22 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 74c | 5,717$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.85 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 5,226$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…a546backed Cardinals | 40c | 4,913$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Cubs | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Cardinals | 10c | 4,217$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 16c | 4,097$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.44 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Cubs | 62c | 3,847$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.77 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…8ae0backed Cubs | 61c | 3,443$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…c46dbacked Cubs | 60c | 3,170$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cardinals | 26c | 2,873$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.9 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cubs | 63c | 2,767$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.7 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Cubs | 76c | 2,625$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…bafdbacked Cubs | 61c | 2,462$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…9367backed Cubs | 61c | 2,457$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,271$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 60c | 2,197$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.84 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 38c | 2,195$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.1 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 19c | 2,189$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 1c | 2,167$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Cardinals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ac…ee5fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 19c | 1,936$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.61 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,856$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…8b67backed Cubs | 63c | 1,831$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,826$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…7e52backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…cd28backed Cubs | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,662$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.94 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4511…c2b7backed Cubs | 61c | 1,641$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,589$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cardinals | 23c | 1,312$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749c…b6d6backed Cubs | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 13c | 1,290$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,276$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.66 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…d3fbbacked Cubs | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Cubs | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 5c | 1,053$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Cubs | 62c | 1,007$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Cubs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 39c | 999.93$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cubs | 62c | 998.68$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 9c | 894.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 37c | 850$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cardinals | 39c | 816.23$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 63c | 815.32$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cardinals | 5c | 798.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cubs | 62c | 723.85$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.19 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Cubs | 71c | 708.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cubs | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Cubs | 63c | 679.37$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals | 3c | 665.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Cubs | 76c | 661.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…9081backed Cubs | 62c | 611.38$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 20c | 607.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Cardinals | 24c | 600$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cardinals | 37c | 592$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 587.82$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Cardinals | 38c | 569.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 37c | 547.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 37c | 538.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 38c | 534.06$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cardinals | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Cardinals | 40c | 501.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Cubs | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Cardinals | 39c | 498.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Cubs | 68c | 444$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 5c | 440.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…faa6backed Cardinals | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…1ad2backed Cardinals | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Cubs | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…c28dbacked Cubs | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 4c | 382$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 63c | 374.73$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Cubs | 76c | 367.14$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…6a50backed Cubs | 62c | 358.63$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Cubs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.