Serie A · resolved market
Will Verona win on 2025-09-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d8d0a98e8ce7128cb9ead45630dea49c41a2b1aad49a31234d2054ca1d87af0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 34c | 50,491$17,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,166.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 66c | 47,079$31,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,007.01 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 22,022$7,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,338.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 30c | 19,495$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.86 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 14,946$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.25 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 6,700$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,635$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.36 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 31c | 3,038$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 34c | 3,012$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.83 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 35c | 2,872$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 33c | 2,198$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.18 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 32c | 1,730$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,300$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 40c | 916.66$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 850$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 25c | 830.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 68c | 621.88$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 33c | 546.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Yes | 38c | 523$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 38c | 446.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 35c | 393.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 65c | 369.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 312.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 272$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 33c | 269.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 30c | 245$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 67c | 211.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 33c | 167.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 110.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…1165backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 89.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked No | 67c | 85.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 35c | 77.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Yes | 32c | 75.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 23c | 71.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 33c | 69.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 33c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 62c | 55.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed No | 68c | 46.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 46.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 34c | 42.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…24babacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed No | 70c | 29.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5234backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verona win on 2025-09-15?this page
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?No won
- Will Verona vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.