Serie A · resolved market
Will Verona vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a083f497cd0ba7ce65e5cd4932a3bff5256b3b8d9014c819f652ad10306ede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 30c | 15,932$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,174.74 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 11,305$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 67c | 8,869$5,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 8,629$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.89 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 64c | 3,700$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.99 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,822$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.49 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 33c | 2,660$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,268$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,300$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 1,300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 33c | 1,267$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 850$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 31c | 699.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 57c | 545.56$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 459$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 33c | 439.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 69c | 351.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 33c | 318.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 38c | 209.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 33c | 163.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 33c | 155.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 30c | 132.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed No | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 88.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 52c | 86.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 32c | 81.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Yes | 72c | 62.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…764dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…151ebacked Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Yes | 31c | 42.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 41c | 30.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…dcc3backed No | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verona vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?this page
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?No won
- Will Verona win on 2025-09-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.