TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans0c43,982$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans42c16,237$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,879.883,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4d…83d5backed Pelicans0c12,026$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Pelicans4c9,808$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7325016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Pelicans47c9,014$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans23c7,007$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.6147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks58c6,996$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.451,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…aac6backed Pelicans49c6,559$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.761478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+87.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c11…c7e6backed Mavericks53c4,928$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans27c4,836$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.7365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans6c4,676$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.81,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mavericks51c4,357$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.8614563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Pelicans1c4,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Pelicans68c4,048$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.324158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pelicans4c3,288$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc8…3900backed Mavericks53c2,622$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70e…cc0dbacked Pelicans49c2,525$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d9…0293backed Mavericks51c2,524$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Pelicans45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Mavericks55c2,498$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Pelicans49c2,286$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.1817348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d84…705dbacked Pelicans50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…533ebacked Mavericks51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pelicans17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks51c1,945$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.0524855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Mavericks52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.7611355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Pelicans48c1,920$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.7330351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pelicans42c1,711$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks53c1,704$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.091,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pelicans47c1,580$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.417047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Pelicans67c1,496$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks37c1,486$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.7261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks52c1,401$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.1250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Mavericks52c1,242$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans50c992.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pelicans51c918.94$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3979…7f65backed Pelicans48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2991…c921backed Mavericks52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Mavericks52c884.45$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.546045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c87…5eb4backed Mavericks51c803.16$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1710347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans2c800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans41c720.61$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x965e…0062backed Pelicans3c669.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans47c622.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.521,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Mavericks53c616.36$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.365379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks53c615$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Pelicans44c605.71$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.517450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Mavericks50c590.69$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.448251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Pelicans28c588.21$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.741742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pelicans49c554.14$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5327840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2e…703abacked Pelicans49c550$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…463bbacked Mavericks52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Mavericks32c550$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.513731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks57c510.02$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Mavericks59c507$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2075362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans47c505$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks64c500$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.331,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Mavericks52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Mavericks50c499.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Pelicans48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.992035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Mavericks51c473.29$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9128063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Mavericks51c420.49$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5311428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Pelicans49c404.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans46c402.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…a0ffbacked Mavericks56c395.71$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.118861.4%54 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Mavericks52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6215646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Mavericks53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3619838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad7b…d978backed Mavericks54c370.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…590bbacked Pelicans7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Pelicans5c348.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.927348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…06b9backed Mavericks51c335.1$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.24337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Pelicans27c317.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.498540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks59c316.3$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks32c304.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Mavericks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans48c298.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Pelicans51c296.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9921338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Mavericks51c289.42$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Mavericks36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7826640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Mavericks37c276.22$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.027140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2738132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks55c268.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6870951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Pelicans47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Mavericks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Pelicans49c245.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans45c227$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Pelicans48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Mavericks75c202.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.828651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9689353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Mavericks65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7019350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Mavericks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9828651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pelicans40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks54c199.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Mavericks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f0…4795backed Mavericks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3112163.6%77 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x118f…9088backed Mavericks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3112165.3%79 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Mavericks53c189.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3812065%78 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.