Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2273b413c77ec23ed5f558b40b3dee131e0819aaadd9a161c37ca0e9a51d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 36c | 55,629$20,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,602.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 42,214$27,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,016.96 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 11,194$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.98 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.96 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 6,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 36c | 5,670$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.24 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 65c | 5,216$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.86 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 3,975$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.48 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 35c | 3,616$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 38c | 3,598$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.56 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,499$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 3,091$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.89 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 65c | 2,909$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 65c | 2,559$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 34c | 2,520$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 66c | 2,518$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…c367backed Yes | 66c | 2,263$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 41c | 2,137$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 2,071$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 50c | 1,679$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed Yes | 21c | 1,640$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 53c | 943.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 917.14$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.14 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 51c | 783.55$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 20c | 762.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 762.08$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.1 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 65c | 746.15$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 36c | 715.24$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 65c | 667.29$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.74 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 35c | 650$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 32c | 578$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked No | 37c | 570$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 38c | 529.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.17 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…2317backed Yes | 65c | 526.36$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 40c | 526.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Yes | 57c | 500.39$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 42c | 492.35$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 55c | 489.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 35c | 422.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 399.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 65c | 396.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 66c | 386.8$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 33c | 354.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.63 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 64c | 310.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 65c | 307.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 65c | 306.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 65c | 306.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 66c | 268.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 257$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…246abacked Yes | 67c | 220.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked No | 37c | 218.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 36c | 214.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…b054backed Yes | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 65c | 210.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 44c | 206.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 65c | 204.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…61bcbacked Yes | 61c | 202.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…489ebacked Yes | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Yes | 55c | 177.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 36c | 175.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…0a94backed Yes | 60c | 165.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 65c | 153.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 64c | 153.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 66c | 150.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…8532backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 66c | 148.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 59c | 144.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…24babacked Yes | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…fac1backed Yes | 66c | 136.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 66c | 135.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 37c | 135.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 37c | 134.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 42c | 133.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 64c | 125.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes | 67c | 122.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…0a09backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 63c | 100.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.