Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0fe7d565785e8eef78778c9aae46ce84c6ea5ad069288c90abab3b8ccf51c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 35c | 4,292$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 3,429$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.52 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,367$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.16 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 78c | 1,256$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 23c | 909.09$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 28c | 798.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 550.43$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 68c | 472$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 435$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 35c | 282.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 37c | 271.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 77c | 262$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 77c | 194.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 36c | 177.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…d5d5backed No | 62c | 140.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 76c | 131.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 75c | 130.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 72c | 122.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 65c | 113.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…8f76backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 71c | 109.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 23c | 82.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 81.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02db…64f3backed Yes | 28c | 72.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 76c | 70.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 72c | 56.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 72c | 47.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 35c | 32.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.