Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf6c094091156c9b37f6d31d6dc10e8cd708c4cbb638b6d57044c1cb03cd135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 2,290$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,358$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 72c | 697.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 33c | 639.9$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 63c | 632.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 400.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 13c | 323.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 12c | 307.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.27 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…6badbacked Yes | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 52c | 182.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 12c | 115.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 99.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 80c | 63.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…0a09backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…9973backed Yes | 66c | 28.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…2a10backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.