TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11fc…dc48backed Yes67c72,614$48,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,105.442536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c14,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64028133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30012451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c8,394$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.3517345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes63c6,005$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No34c4,547$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.5524647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No34c4,247$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.319618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No25c4,035$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.8331945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No34c3,396$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.7721140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9908359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No34c2,814$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.61616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-58.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c2,492$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No37c1,957$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7246240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No15c1,718$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.877051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No32c1,679$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.1528731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes66c1,667$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.672951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes69c1,606$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No35c1,600$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5523938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No36c1,494$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.053735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No23c1,294$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.614323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No37c1,207$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.986540%26 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9916244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.587445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a1…6877backed Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c629.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3442352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No34c601.46$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c600.3$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No32c572.95$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5513419.4%26 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c514.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…3139backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No34c424$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0412047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213240.2%53 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.79850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11b8…439ebacked Yes64c343.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No34c319.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No34c294.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9435848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No34c279.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.193732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94db…55f5backed Yes65c268.94$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No33c250$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.52737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No33c250$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes67c244.42$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.663148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes66c231.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No33c217$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6114040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No35c214.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.162740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes67c212.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.044961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes65c212$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.38977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b48…58a6backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653d…411abacked Yes67c180.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No34c174.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.522242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9470…7790backed Yes64c158.38$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No36c157.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.563528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f15…3a7dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes66c137.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489f…ce2ebacked No37c136.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes70c125.78$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0d…df7abacked Yes66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No35c118.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110944%48 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3690…3ab9backed Yes69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344835.4%17 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8820245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0745…4428backed No34c85.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes66c76.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x455a…28ebbacked Yes65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a0…f9d6backed Yes68c64.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc52c…53dbbacked Yes66c61.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+146.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7838…4397backed Yes66c60.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.614768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.614057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eca…4055backed Yes75c60.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes69c59.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No28c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.617037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed No35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.858554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…e5f0backed Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…c102backed Yes65c45.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2df…45f9backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.346040%24 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf303…355ebacked Yes65c39.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Yes67c34.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…1dfebacked Yes67c32.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes67c31.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21cd…e7aabacked Yes67c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes65c30.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.793268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.