Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belarus vs. Scotland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae25b1ee70c54f858bd57221a28baed00c9e50b55c8eb0b2d61849f061e07636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4caa…d4f7backed Yes | 25c | 10,010$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…7b4bbacked No | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…492fbacked No | 75c | 2,665$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…a053backed No | 75c | 2,665$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…c761backed No | 75c | 2,001$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 504.66$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 21c | 399.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 78c | 385.79$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 357.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 176.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 24c | 130.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 79c | 65.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 76c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belarus vs. Scotland end in a draw?this page
- Will Belarus win on 2025-09-08?No won
- Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.