TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Pittsburgh vs. Toledo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toledoof Pittsburgh, Toledo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pittsburgh63c58,435$36,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,864.385657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pittsburgh39c36,907$14,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,430.0320341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pittsburgh55c12,831$7,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,081.449843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pittsburgh68c12,403$8,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,485.393754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Toledo47c10,139$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.2186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Toledo32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8002045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Pittsburgh68c9,610$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Toledo34c8,316$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.1719043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Pittsburgh46c7,948$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.28166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick38cpaid-87.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Toledo52c7,098$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.053842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Toledo31c5,709$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.871650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Toledo29c4,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Toledo29c3,607$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.747335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Toledo44c3,541$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.111656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Toledo28c3,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.941942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Pittsburgh47c2,609$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.962733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Toledo30c2,533$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Toledo52c2,388$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.296100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Toledo37c2,248$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.842147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Toledo20c2,196$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.321729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pittsburgh2c2,103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.442370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Toledo61c2,000$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77439847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pittsburgh67c1,990$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.043066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pittsburgh68c1,828$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.0223145.5%105 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Pittsburgh75c1,738$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Pittsburgh61c1,708$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.255543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Pittsburgh64c1,620$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.091323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6540…639abacked Toledo64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Pittsburgh71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Pittsburgh66c1,252$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8291747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Pittsburgh70c1,226$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.14988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+63.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Pittsburgh72c1,141$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Pittsburgh73c1,114$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.311485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pittsburgh64c1,074$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.31229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-73.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Pittsburgh71c1,045$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Pittsburgh23c1,032$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.86450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4391…1f2cbacked Toledo32c1,019$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7733…f052backed Pittsburgh69c1,014$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pittsburgh1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Pittsburgh15c930.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.995930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Pittsburgh55c925$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.751952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Pittsburgh48c912.77$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.98560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pittsburgh70c878.31$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.828347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Pittsburgh67c874.63$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.573250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Pittsburgh55c790.31$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pittsburgh53c760.3$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.133542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Pittsburgh66c729.22$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pittsburgh71c726.06$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c4…e867backed Pittsburgh77c717.47$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Toledo18c692.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.912454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh62c690$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0041…e598backed Pittsburgh74c679.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Pittsburgh42c662.9$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.283941%16 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Toledo30c633.11$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.653100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+216.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Toledo47c616.23$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.235259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Toledo47c601.16$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3211070%77 W · 33 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Toledo35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Toledo30c528.88$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.542524%6 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Toledo17c509.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+99.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Toledo26c500.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0311839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Pittsburgh70c499.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.981566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Pittsburgh78c496.83$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Pittsburgh57c487.82$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.066855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Toledo54c444.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.552040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Pittsburgh70c427.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Pittsburgh69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Toledo39c390$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.93548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Toledo53c377.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.92532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Toledo45c373.88$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.012832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Toledo5c357.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.355520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Toledo31c339.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Toledo30c333.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.311729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pittsburgh52c300$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15718858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Pittsburgh35c299.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Toledo46c280$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.92944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Toledo27c278$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.95446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce4…4db9backed Pittsburgh41c273.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8783…d93abacked Pittsburgh42c269.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…9ff2backed Pittsburgh42c266.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Pittsburgh39c266.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb4…8843backed Pittsburgh44c263.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe51d…429cbacked Pittsburgh43c255.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pittsburgh70c250.01$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.467653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Toledo27c242.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.63461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Toledo27c242$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.54055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Pittsburgh43c241.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Pittsburgh69c231$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.391553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Toledo45c214.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdd…64a7backed Toledo32c213.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pittsburgh69c206.96$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.815252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Toledo60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Toledo16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Pittsburgh48c197.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Toledo26c189$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.933647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Toledo8c184$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.28825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+100.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Toledo32c180.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9320757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Toledo40c179.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb5…f8d5backed Pittsburgh73c178.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.87666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…1e2dbacked Pittsburgh73c178.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Toledo29c170.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.21233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.