TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Blues, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights19c14,793$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.3892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Golden Knights28c6,273$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.2731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Golden Knights7c3,806$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.072657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights66c3,031$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Blues37c2,891$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.361957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights14c2,851$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.141,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blues37c2,325$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights2c2,128$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.417450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Golden Knights62c1,821$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.9831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Blues49c1,805$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.5310739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Blues64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc71…39dabacked Golden Knights28c1,358$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Blues72c1,341$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed Blues72c1,341$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Blues63c1,125$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.73850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Golden Knights46c1,082$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights55c1,000$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.211,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Golden Knights1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1f…41b7backed Golden Knights67c990.87$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Blues64c961.4$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.11457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights44c843.63$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.541,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3208…6bedbacked Blues57c702.1$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09a9…dd6abacked Golden Knights8c700$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Golden Knights64c680$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blues34c668$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Golden Knights13c637$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7214949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Blues43c490$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8120751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefc3…d062backed Golden Knights4c479.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+90.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1357…7553backed Blues73c464.12$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blues35c430$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Blues51c403.62$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.424542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Blues35c397.62$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues35c360.43$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Golden Knights65c342.7$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.72864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Golden Knights52c290.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e7…a1a9backed Golden Knights29c287.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcbe…e09fbacked Golden Knights66c286.82$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc503…312abacked Blues37c283.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues34c271.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.951,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…6e78backed Golden Knights65c247.92$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Golden Knights34c245.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Blues60c225.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blues35c213.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Blues35c206.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1344650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Blues36c198.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.313452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights27c194.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Golden Knights45c186.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Blues62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Blues64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Golden Knights67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Golden Knights23c144.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.652250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Golden Knights64c133.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.169861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Golden Knights12c126.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Blues78c126.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.765660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Blues74c119$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Golden Knights64c107.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.634852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde70…0039backed Blues58c103.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Golden Knights64c97.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.229251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc7…79b1backed Blues64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe7…9563backed Golden Knights18c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Golden Knights64c80.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…1116backed Blues58c79.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…40c1backed Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blues68c76.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Golden Knights51c75.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…ab8abacked Blues35c74.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Blues38c73.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8962944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8305…5f21backed Golden Knights45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…b9adbacked Golden Knights46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues57c61.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Blues41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights64c55.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aef…ad3fbacked Blues36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Blues64c52.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.163781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ee…2f00backed Golden Knights65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Golden Knights46c49.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Golden Knights65c46.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Golden Knights66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x547d…c6e8backed Golden Knights45c44.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a95…49e0backed Blues36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+126.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc25d…fa73backed Golden Knights64c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x367c…8b7ebacked Golden Knights64c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb37c…f3f4backed Blues36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+143.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bc…5a78backed Blues36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3605…e60ebacked Blues38c42.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.321030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d08…2b37backed Golden Knights65c40.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe19c…e42fbacked Blues37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd380…62d6backed Blues37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x084f…00d3backed Blues36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1627…a54fbacked Blues36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776b…5166backed Golden Knights64c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d6…f0a6backed Blues36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Blues37c37.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a34…bfc0backed Golden Knights64c36.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x759e…fab4backed Golden Knights66c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da4…bad8backed Blues36c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…2074backed Blues35c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.