NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93d470c15e426637d0bde733289003f0879cefc8b63cd46a2f1ba2b1cef43dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Devils | 2c | 1,224$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Avalanche | 65c | 827.02$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.05 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Devils | 28c | 508$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Devils | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Avalanche | 42c | 492.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 4c | 465$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Avalanche | 42c | 433.81$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Avalanche | 40c | 393.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Devils | 47c | 325.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Devils | 57c | 250.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Devils | 60c | 233.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Devils | 22c | 213.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 60c | 210$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Avalanche | 40c | 201.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…54dabacked Avalanche | 41c | 177.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…e188backed Devils | 59c | 177.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…2930backed Devils | 59c | 171.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Avalanche | 41c | 171.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed Avalanche | 41c | 169.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8186backed Devils | 59c | 169.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Avalanche | 42c | 134.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Devils | 25c | 100.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Avalanche | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Devils | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Devils | 34c | 87.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche | 39c | 76.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Avalanche | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Avalanche | 79c | 63.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Devils | 58c | 56.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Devils | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Devils | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Devils | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Avalanche | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…aa22backed Avalanche | 41c | 45.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +333.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Devils | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Avalanche | 75c | 42.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…7485backed Devils | 43c | 40.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Avalanche | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c1…a798backed Devils | 59c | 37.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb761…abe5backed Avalanche | 41c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Devils | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4a39backed Devils | 58c | 33.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Avalanche | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…29f0backed Avalanche | 80c | 31.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…f036backed Avalanche | 41c | 28.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche | 41c | 24.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926b…c061backed Devils | 59c | 24.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1d…cac4backed Devils | 59c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Avalanche | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…7a51backed Devils | 59c | 20.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…d8b6backed Avalanche | 57c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Devils | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.