TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Hornets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks78c12,803$10,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.5715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets6c6,760$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.841,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets1c6,087$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.451,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6971…3224backed Hornets29c5,705$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hornets17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets31c4,257$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Hornets19c3,563$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6779437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Bucks71c3,448$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.928561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets26c3,064$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.051,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets14c2,917$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Bucks69c2,901$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3914233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets26c2,742$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks73c2,311$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.0427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8a…58c1backed Bucks73c2,273$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks74c2,200$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Hornets23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4608417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hornets21c1,972$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd515…8d38backed Hornets28c1,871$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.751050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Hornets20c1,815$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9512841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets21c1,725$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets22c1,581$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.111,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e3…2b53backed Bucks73c1,237$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets22c1,187$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.21,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Hornets27c1,130$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Bucks71c1,130$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks73c1,042$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Hornets25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Bucks72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets22c937.64$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Hornets26c900$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Hornets29c871.33$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.645438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Hornets27c837.31$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.833531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Hornets26c810$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Hornets26c799.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20418316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks74c715.74$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.741,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Hornets28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0b2…2bb9backed Bucks73c617$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hornets26c600$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.511143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Hornets28c539.37$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.519052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bucks74c500.25$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bucks73c500.12$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Hornets18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9034644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Hornets24c437.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets25c426.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.581,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Bucks75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Hornets27c350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.55820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks79c329.1$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.184957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59d7…7c92backed Hornets28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets17c312.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Hornets11c303.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.364712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Hornets33c303.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Hornets16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hornets21c293.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Hornets28c289.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8165218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…8319backed Bucks75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Bucks71c257.59$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Hornets24c250.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.179625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9415…cb92backed Hornets25c244.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.046232.3%20 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d7…774ebacked Hornets26c243.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.465839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks66c234.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.811,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df2…29cebacked Hornets10c234.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.293135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Hornets22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb13…1918backed Bucks73c226.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.383151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Bucks72c201.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Hornets18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Hornets18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Hornets28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff50…de6fbacked Bucks75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Hornets29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Bucks75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Bucks74c190.54$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.543259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab25…aad2backed Hornets21c189.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-76.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa264…9342backed Hornets27c174.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Hornets25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Hornets19c152.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7811250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Bucks73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Bucks80c148.32$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3411235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Bucks61c145.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5810334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Hornets28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Hornets27c139.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.89149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Bucks74c135.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6810153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84be…ec7abacked Hornets27c129.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Bucks78c128.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4734169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e9…1edabacked Hornets27c118.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Hornets27c115.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.066536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…1958backed Bucks73c112.32$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…6ac4backed Hornets27c107.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Bucks74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bed…4c7fbacked Hornets25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1728…991bbacked Bucks75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Bucks75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Hornets20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Bucks76c94.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.746744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85a…9155backed Bucks73c90.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…7f85backed Bucks73c86.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.