NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cbe06284b4a6d8e6dd20a31c71781cb78a30556a4ef664b0e709fd05f14292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Suns, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Suns | 74c | 17,528$12,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,907.85 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 13,180$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.37 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 9,140$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Suns | 30c | 7,295$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,717$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.8 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Suns | 38c | 4,412$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.07 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Suns | 46c | 4,102$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.26 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Timberwolves | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 43c | 3,649$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.56 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 3,327$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.31 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 3,326$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.65 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Timberwolves | 72c | 3,000$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.62 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,726$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.52 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 2,285$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.65 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…3b89backed Timberwolves | 71c | 2,023$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…fedcbacked Suns | 28c | 2,023$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…c48fbacked Suns | 30c | 1,829$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…78f0backed Suns | 29c | 1,727$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Suns | 60c | 1,675$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.37 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…f21fbacked Suns | 49c | 1,626$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Suns | 1c | 1,620$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Suns | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 1,480$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.63 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,316$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.58 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 31c | 1,289$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Suns | 56c | 1,251$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Suns | 29c | 1,174$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,173$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Suns | 35c | 1,136$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,076$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.87 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Suns | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Suns | 32c | 1,057$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns | 52c | 1,029$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.25 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…1ed1backed Suns | 62c | 1,004$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 11c | 1,003$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Timberwolves | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 30c | 999.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Suns | 63c | 977.22$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Timberwolves | 46c | 928.65$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…ac6abacked Timberwolves | 72c | 828.58$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Timberwolves | 38c | 791.2$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.54 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 750.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.65 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…3561backed Timberwolves | 71c | 747.69$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Timberwolves | 41c | 732.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.07 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Timberwolves | 73c | 699.27$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Suns | 28c | 689.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…b9e5backed Suns | 29c | 686.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…8ecbbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 679.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 677.22$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…922cbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 674.71$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…38afbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 650.82$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Suns | 46c | 615.12$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Timberwolves | 42c | 592$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 583.49$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Suns | 38c | 540.73$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Timberwolves | 71c | 514.39$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked Suns | 40c | 513.33$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Timberwolves | 49c | 512.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…148cbacked Suns | 78c | 506.23$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Timberwolves | 39c | 504.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.96 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Timberwolves | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Timberwolves | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Suns | 28c | 499.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Timberwolves | 47c | 480$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Timberwolves | 42c | 469.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 60c | 456.65$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 453.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…7220backed Suns | 48c | 451.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Suns | 56c | 441.49$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95af…0b1ebacked Suns | 29c | 440.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves | 57c | 428.67$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 401.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Timberwolves | 70c | 399.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Timberwolves | 53c | 385.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Suns | 29c | 368.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…2ab4backed Suns | 43c | 336.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Suns | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Timberwolves | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 290$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Suns | 36c | 268.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Suns | 30c | 256.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Suns | 46c | 254.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 232.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Timberwolves | 66c | 212.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Timberwolves | 71c | 209.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Suns | 49c | 204.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…98d7backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…2beabacked Suns | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 40c | 196.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…8476backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Suns | 52c | 191.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.