NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d68a0e71d71d9e2af4e8c4072fd268d4d14e5e5c9bfbfabd88eaa83b9081a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Hawks | 30c | 41,172$12,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,910.25 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Hawks | 55c | 32,433$17,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,641.4 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Cavaliers | 69c | 25,195$17,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,269.42 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 18c | 22,795$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,764.96 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Cavaliers | 79c | 11,074$8,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,707.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Hawks | 27c | 10,284$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,538.45 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks | 21c | 8,983$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.24 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 19c | 8,368$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks | 15c | 7,943$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.05 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Hawks | 22c | 7,925$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171.64 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Hawks | 13c | 7,548$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 35c | 6,939$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.31 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 21c | 4,526$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.95 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 1c | 3,710$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 3,700$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hawks | 15c | 3,496$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.29 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 23c | 3,285$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.51 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 18c | 3,223$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.92 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks | 17c | 3,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.9 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 59c | 2,236$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.44 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 2,059$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.76 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 20c | 2,050$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Hawks | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.97 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 29c | 1,755$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.95 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 38c | 1,659$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.04 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Hawks | 18c | 1,177$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Hawks | 26c | 1,159$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.78 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Hawks | 17c | 1,135$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.22 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Hawks | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,110$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.66 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Hawks | 13c | 1,082$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.49 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Hawks | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Hawks | 29c | 1,039$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed Hawks | 18c | 984.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hawks | 9c | 983.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.43 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Cavaliers | 17c | 845$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hawks | 18c | 799.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.99 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cavaliers | 66c | 773.33$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cavaliers | 68c | 730.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Cavaliers | 55c | 705$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 694.88$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.82 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hawks | 25c | 686.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8f4bbacked Hawks | 15c | 668.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Hawks | 24c | 629.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 45c | 614.53$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Hawks | 34c | 589.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.69 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 559.53$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Hawks | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…c972backed Hawks | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Hawks | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Hawks | 17c | 499.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.95 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Hawks | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Hawks | 11c | 466.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed Hawks | 16c | 439.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Hawks | 21c | 438.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.32 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hawks | 21c | 418.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.43 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…339bbacked Hawks | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Cavaliers | 77c | 388$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Hawks | 16c | 384.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…53c3backed Hawks | 19c | 372.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +288.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks | 25c | 368.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Hawks | 13c | 350$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.83 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 347.12$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Hawks | 11c | 320.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Hawks | 22c | 306.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…ee8dbacked Cavaliers | 4c | 304.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Hawks | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…d340backed Cavaliers | 72c | 250.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Cavaliers | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Cavaliers | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Hawks | 28c | 211.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Hawks | 17c | 210$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Cavaliers | 66c | 207$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Hawks | 20c | 201.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Hawks | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…3a8ebacked Hawks | 17c | 198.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hawks | 25c | 186.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…2e46backed Hawks | 15c | 176.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Hawks | 26c | 176.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hawks | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Cavaliers | 73c | 170$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Cavaliers | 71c | 169.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…5d69backed Hawks | 15c | 168.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…3250backed Hawks | 15c | 154.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b8b2backed Hawks | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Hawks | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Cavaliers | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Hawks | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…62c5backed Cavaliers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Hawks | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Cavaliers | 66c | 132$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…aad2backed Hawks | 23c | 130.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Cavaliers | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Hawks | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.