NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b1a3888b1847b8bc3603cf443ae52a5b3a9c5a7fd46f38e1feb6a714daf6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Raptors, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Raptors | 11c | 48,774$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Celtics | 80c | 46,405$37,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,312.05 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Celtics | 80c | 33,586$26,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851.78 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 42c | 31,763$13,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,255.06 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 35c | 20,545$7,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,146.6 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 24c | 8,180$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.39 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Raptors | 19c | 7,027$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.8 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors | 15c | 6,935$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.92 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…71f9backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…9098backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Raptors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Raptors | 10c | 3,837$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.59 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raptors | 27c | 3,695$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.49 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Raptors | 9c | 2,913$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Raptors | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Raptors | 10c | 2,489$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 22c | 2,439$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.61 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Raptors | 11c | 2,344$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Celtics | 77c | 2,333$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…8a34backed Raptors | 13c | 2,143$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Raptors | 39c | 2,142$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.31 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Raptors | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Raptors | 9c | 1,770$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.42 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 8c | 1,712$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8a18backed Celtics | 67c | 1,591$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raptors | 11c | 1,535$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Celtics | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Raptors | 7c | 1,473$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Raptors | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…af06backed Raptors | 16c | 1,337$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Raptors | 7c | 1,300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Raptors | 9c | 1,250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Raptors | 22c | 1,244$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Raptors | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Raptors | 20c | 1,121$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Raptors | 14c | 1,102$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Raptors | 19c | 1,051$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Celtics | 71c | 1,050$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Celtics | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.67 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Raptors | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Raptors | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Raptors | 8c | 999.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…149bbacked Raptors | 10c | 902.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors | 10c | 850.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Raptors | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…f513backed Celtics | 79c | 755.09$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked Raptors | 9c | 700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Raptors | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Celtics | 53c | 653.45$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Raptors | 9c | 653$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Raptors | 7c | 650$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Celtics | 69c | 601.33$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Raptors | 9c | 599.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Raptors | 11c | 579.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Celtics | 75c | 566$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Raptors | 10c | 520.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Raptors | 17c | 499.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Celtics | 72c | 457.74$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6be7backed Celtics | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Celtics | 78c | 452.37$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Raptors | 9c | 447.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…a0ecbacked Raptors | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…4fedbacked Raptors | 10c | 412$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Raptors | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Raptors | 10c | 386.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Raptors | 9c | 375.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Raptors | 11c | 366.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Raptors | 9c | 355.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 19c | 355.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Raptors | 9c | 339.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…d809backed Raptors | 11c | 318.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Celtics | 74c | 310.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Raptors | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…fb04backed Raptors | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…a624backed Raptors | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…4771backed Raptors | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Raptors | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…1621backed Raptors | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Raptors | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Raptors | 7c | 297.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Celtics | 56c | 291.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Raptors | 9c | 254.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Celtics | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Raptors | 10c | 252.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…c051backed Raptors | 21c | 252.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Celtics | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Raptors | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.