TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Raptors, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ccb…0a10backed Raptors3c110,538$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.566744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1f…f491backed Pistons34c14,713$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,716.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors30c7,428$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.911,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Raptors64c6,576$4,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.7115056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Pistons38c4,760$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.112326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors59c4,624$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.371,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors53c4,539$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.5965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons64c3,996$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.6819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors59c3,935$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.6914233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Pistons51c3,012$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.253540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Raptors36c2,675$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.1210244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Pistons62c2,632$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.168561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors36c2,067$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.291,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Pistons42c1,454$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.68439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c9…b44ebacked Raptors50c1,429$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors3c1,422$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.921,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Raptors40c1,200$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2d…8b38backed Pistons64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons69c1,188$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1626547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Pistons38c1,181$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.911926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pistons42c1,161$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.4225939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Raptors24c1,050$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.523835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed Raptors60c1,028$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Pistons50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.393754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Pistons64c999.94$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.988043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Raptors36c938.75$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.989052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons44c909.02$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Pistons62c903.5$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.338150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b52…2c31backed Raptors26c650.88$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.231225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Pistons75c633.33$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.332157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons60c614.53$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons64c605.28$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Raptors48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…0e85backed Raptors69c567.3$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Pistons65c553.85$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.853259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Raptors37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Pistons53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raptors42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f32…8463backed Raptors22c475.82$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.281822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors40c453.92$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Raptors61c408.24$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1919350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Pistons39c399.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…df2abacked Raptors38c399.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Pistons63c398.04$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.282245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Raptors37c356.53$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9212154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b5…88bfbacked Pistons66c329.92$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.544163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bbb…4dd0backed Pistons66c325.79$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb4…38d4backed Raptors36c325.28$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Raptors58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Raptors41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12323548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79aa…62f9backed Pistons66c287.05$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3849…35ebbacked Raptors45c267.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Pistons44c258.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.847958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pistons39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4134644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Raptors64c255.49$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7523956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons60c250$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ec…2eaebacked Raptors36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Raptors45c250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc2…758bbacked Raptors9c244.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Raptors38c227.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8619650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pistons64c224.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Pistons34c210$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.66426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Raptors44c208.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8311235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Pistons73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5419943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Pistons47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10611146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Pistons67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Pistons33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1346230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Raptors35c199.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9910334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pistons63c199.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9911143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Pistons64c170$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors30c168.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Pistons62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Pistons42c153.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4711447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons61c153.06$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Pistons42c152.45$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4212752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Pistons66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Raptors35c149.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Raptors34c149.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.996262.9%39 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Raptors35c149.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4911849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ec…0a71backed Raptors31c146.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.154748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Pistons35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8621338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f46…255ebacked Pistons65c140.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.092466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Pistons72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Raptors36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Raptors38c136.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Raptors38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Raptors42c130.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a77…6502backed Pistons77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe475…2e6fbacked Pistons65c125.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.023831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Pistons64c120.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.313369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Raptors36c116.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Pistons34c111.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.769431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Raptors36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Raptors51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.112747.2%60 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…2a91backed Pistons65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.