NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3aa045fb2062cbe23f6a1ab4d2e7186feb201f90536ebf500e7ae7d2859a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Nuggets | 41c | 25,795$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,294.9 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lakers | 3c | 24,298$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.94 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Lakers | 9c | 22,866$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.67 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Lakers | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Lakers | 57c | 13,130$7,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,541.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Lakers | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nuggets | 40c | 8,498$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.83 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 60c | 6,879$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.17 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Lakers | 64c | 6,244$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lakers | 23c | 5,037$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.56 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2e03backed Lakers | 21c | 5,011$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 39c | 4,828$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Nuggets | 40c | 4,030$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lakers | 63c | 4,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.97 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 10c | 3,790$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Lakers | 3c | 3,680$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Nuggets | 32c | 3,439$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.94 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,057$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.46 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 39c | 3,050$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Lakers | 6c | 2,936$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 37c | 2,476$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.95 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Nuggets | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.35 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 61c | 2,283$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.66 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Lakers | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Nuggets | 35c | 2,034$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed Lakers | 60c | 2,031$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Lakers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Nuggets | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 9c | 1,963$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Lakers | 1c | 1,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ce…9947backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,859$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…c1cdbacked Lakers | 1c | 1,847$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,838$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 61c | 1,630$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.26 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,531$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.3 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,527$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 41c | 1,411$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.74 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Lakers | 57c | 1,203$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.95 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lakers | 16c | 1,171$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Lakers | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,093$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.15 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,070$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,067$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.08 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Lakers | 61c | 1,060$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,053$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.18 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Lakers | 4c | 1,031$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Lakers | 65c | 1,028$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.97 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,013$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.15 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Lakers | 12c | 1,008$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 30c | 1,003$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.75 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lakers | 67c | 1,000$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.76 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…801cbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,000$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +240.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…8d38backed Nuggets | 56c | 934.77$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Nuggets | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…8f30backed Nuggets | 40c | 887$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Lakers | 63c | 873.25$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Nuggets | 38c | 850$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Lakers | 62c | 850$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Lakers | 14c | 845.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 38c | 815.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.82 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Nuggets | 39c | 770.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.43 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Nuggets | 44c | 700.78$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.51 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Lakers | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 43c | 697.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Nuggets | 30c | 693.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.41 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Nuggets | 38c | 679.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Lakers | 60c | 679$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Lakers | 61c | 678.92$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…88bcbacked Lakers | 63c | 665.65$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Lakers | 62c | 660.61$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.69 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1059…f959backed Lakers | 12c | 652.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Lakers | 62c | 644.24$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…4aadbacked Lakers | 63c | 639.16$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers | 64c | 629.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 44c | 617.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 65c | 564.71$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.4 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Nuggets | 36c | 562.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lakers | 61c | 560.54$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.59 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…9144backed Lakers | 63c | 554.46$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nuggets | 32c | 541.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.01 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Nuggets | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Nuggets | 40c | 528.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Nuggets | 37c | 515$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe475…2e6fbacked Lakers | 4c | 508.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Lakers | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Nuggets | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Nuggets | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…9192backed Lakers | 61c | 495.05$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…0e53backed Nuggets | 40c | 495.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 61c | 486.96$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5962backed Nuggets | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Nuggets | 37c | 364.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.