NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8414263893f7ac1f03fe5f32420e44a47644bb3b773d87230eb7c8da012da16a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 24,020$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 18,602$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 5,700$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 4,550$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Grizzlies | 80c | 4,469$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 4,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,352$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.06 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 2,900$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 2,497$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 1,986$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 1,312$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 1,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…77ebbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 899.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 842.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 762.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…dd21backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 594.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 80c | 552$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 520$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 488.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 461.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 453.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Grizzlies | 80c | 444$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 432.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…33bcbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 385.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 349.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 316.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 314.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 279.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 255.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 227.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 219.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 215.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies | 77c | 214.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 212.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 209.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 200.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 196.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Grizzlies | 77c | 165.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Grizzlies | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Grizzlies | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 136.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…663ebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 133.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 130.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Grizzlies | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 128.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 126.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Grizzlies | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 104.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 100.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 99.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 92.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…1324backed Grizzlies | 80c | 85.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 77.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 71.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf80e…4d24backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…121dbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 59.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Grizzlies | 77c | 55.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…a401backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 50.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…83febacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 50.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a8…dcafbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…c522backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Grizzlies | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Grizzlies | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 49.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…c156backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 47.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…eacdbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.