MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03af84924f0d2d2a74bce9f2421efb6545ff1e4aa756b6779311d49683908b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Nationals, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Nationals | 30c | 340,386$101,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,882.26 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Mets | 70c | 114,764$80,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,429.17 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 70c | 64,612$45,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,383.71 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 70c | 40,065$27,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,158.89 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Nationals | 30c | 22,691$6,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.4 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mets | 70c | 21,749$15,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.79 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mets | 70c | 16,867$11,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.25 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mets | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 69c | 11,629$8,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…fcf9backed Mets | 70c | 9,999$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…819ebacked Mets | 70c | 9,998$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…1499backed Nationals | 30c | 9,996$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…86f8backed Nationals | 30c | 9,996$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 76c | 8,852$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 71c | 8,703$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 79c | 7,739$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.27 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 1c | 5,955$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Mets | 71c | 5,764$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.65 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 70c | 5,213$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 70c | 4,756$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 71c | 3,440$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 75c | 3,423$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Mets | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 71c | 3,329$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.35 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 69c | 3,222$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mets | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mets | 70c | 2,100$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mets | 71c | 1,861$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.69 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets | 69c | 1,854$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.78 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 69c | 1,828$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mets | 71c | 1,720$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.97 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mets | 70c | 1,685$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.52 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 75c | 1,547$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.63 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 7c | 1,476$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 29c | 1,450$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Mets | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 70c | 1,107$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 14c | 1,058$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…6103backed Mets | 74c | 1,026$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 70c | 1,015$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Nationals | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nationals | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets | 69c | 994.21$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 69c | 953.78$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.78 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets | 74c | 933$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 69c | 905.77$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 70c | 875.28$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.58 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…1c4bbacked Mets | 70c | 766.46$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Nationals | 30c | 766.46$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 26c | 764.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Mets | 71c | 728.51$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 69c | 725$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Nationals | 30c | 648$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mets | 70c | 632.62$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mets | 71c | 605$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Nationals | 8c | 571.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 3c | 522.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nationals | 19c | 521.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Nationals | 18c | 517.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Mets | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166b…b9fabacked Mets | 71c | 488.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Nationals | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 30c | 399.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Mets | 76c | 383$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 70c | 371$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 71c | 361.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 30c | 355$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Mets | 71c | 334$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets | 70c | 329$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mets | 79c | 321.56$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Nationals | 31c | 306.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Mets | 70c | 305.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Nationals | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 9c | 277.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Mets | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nationals | 26c | 246.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 71c | 232$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Mets | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Nationals | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 31c | 186.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Nationals | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets | 70c | 167.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Nationals | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Nationals | 27c | 164.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.