MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905ebe5c4256e37ce896aea0b4d15261eac925a00b491c21b3c47a636a90c7ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Tigers | 45c | 25,107$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,776.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Tigers | 43c | 22,951$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,975.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 54c | 22,613$12,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,298.85 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 47c | 20,786$9,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,016.44 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 57c | 17,143$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.17 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 53c | 14,932$7,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,914.17 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 55c | 11,540$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Orioles | 55c | 11,058$6,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,076.91 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.73 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 54c | 5,355$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 52c | 5,320$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 46c | 4,929$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.2 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 54c | 4,618$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.78 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Tigers | 45c | 4,534$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.71 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 55c | 4,315$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.24 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 55c | 4,252$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.47 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Tigers | 43c | 4,238$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 52c | 3,956$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Tigers | 45c | 3,585$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Orioles | 56c | 3,424$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 47c | 3,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 9c | 2,687$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 55c | 2,503$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.76 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Orioles | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Tigers | 46c | 2,380$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.06 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Tigers | 49c | 2,319$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.66 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.83 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Tigers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 2c | 1,940$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Orioles | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 54c | 1,814$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Tigers | 45c | 1,777$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 48c | 1,772$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.83 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Orioles | 50c | 1,569$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.01 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 11c | 1,210$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Tigers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 4c | 1,113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 1c | 1,112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Tigers | 46c | 1,110$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Tigers | 47c | 1,100$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.56 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Orioles | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers | 45c | 827.7$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.2 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Orioles | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 48c | 749.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.47 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Orioles | 52c | 732.83$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tigers | 59c | 702.4$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Orioles | 56c | 666$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 56c | 666$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Tigers | 44c | 653.81$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 48c | 629.44$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.13 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Tigers | 44c | 607.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 4c | 607.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Orioles | 53c | 607.04$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…ab74backed Orioles | 10c | 565.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Tigers | 46c | 559.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Orioles | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 46c | 513.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.27 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Orioles | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…4c24backed Tigers | 76c | 467.07$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Tigers | 46c | 463.46$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Orioles | 55c | 460.08$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Orioles | 54c | 457.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Orioles | 9c | 445.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Tigers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Tigers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…89c4backed Tigers | 46c | 430.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Orioles | 48c | 406.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Tigers | 52c | 387.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…d625backed Tigers | 46c | 381.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…eb2ebacked Tigers | 46c | 380.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…8b05backed Orioles | 56c | 380.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…33e8backed Tigers | 74c | 379.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 53c | 373.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Tigers | 53c | 373.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 54c | 371.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.34 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 46c | 370$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…941abacked Tigers | 46c | 358.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Orioles | 55c | 357.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…2c92backed Orioles | 56c | 356.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Tigers | 49c | 351.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…6f02backed Tigers | 46c | 348.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…dd14backed Orioles | 56c | 345.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 45c | 340.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…3738backed Tigers | 46c | 338.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Tigers | 44c | 337.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…f07abacked Tigers | 46c | 330.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Tigers | 50c | 330$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Orioles | 55c | 320.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…499fbacked Orioles | 55c | 316.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.