MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0591e1f75ff71f6f2925efd05312995f94dde17fbb41c7d18732298a18bc7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Angels, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Angels | 39c | 385,346$149,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,201.62 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 61c | 95,000$58,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,612.55 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 59c | 92,110$54,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,525.01 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 63c | 73,721$46,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,276.61 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Orioles | 63c | 54,706$34,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,256.14 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 61c | 35,000$21,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,550 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 60c | 11,912$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 61c | 5,894$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 38c | 5,420$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.02 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 62c | 4,571$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.18 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 63c | 4,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 72c | 3,671$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 62c | 3,333$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.54 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 62c | 3,333$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.52 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Orioles | 61c | 3,333$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.43 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 63c | 3,330$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 21c | 2,969$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.61 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 62c | 2,920$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 61c | 2,889$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.73 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 59c | 2,203$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.16 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Angels | 40c | 2,147$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.8 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Angels | 40c | 1,723$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.19 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 63c | 1,701$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Orioles | 63c | 1,365$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.08 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Angels | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Angels | 21c | 1,238$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Angels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Angels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 63c | 932.37$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 61c | 932.04$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Angels | 36c | 839.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Orioles | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Angels | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 60c | 698.64$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Orioles | 60c | 675$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Angels | 38c | 648.87$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ea41backed Angels | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 63c | 616.09$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.66 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 61c | 596.77$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Orioles | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Angels | 38c | 452.76$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…ae55backed Angels | 38c | 434.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 38c | 429.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Orioles | 61c | 399.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Orioles | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Orioles | 63c | 395.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Angels | 11c | 348.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 39c | 348.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 39c | 342.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Orioles | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 6c | 323$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Orioles | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Orioles | 63c | 311.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…443ebacked Orioles | 63c | 310.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Orioles | 63c | 269$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Angels | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…8b05backed Orioles | 63c | 263.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Orioles | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Angels | 39c | 227.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Orioles | 60c | 206.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Angels | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…37d0backed Angels | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…88cabacked Angels | 39c | 185.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Angels | 40c | 179.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Orioles | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Angels | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…42e4backed Angels | 41c | 146.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Angels | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Angels | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…c6bcbacked Angels | 38c | 135.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…a834backed Angels | 38c | 133.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Angels | 38c | 130.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Angels | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Angels | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Angels | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Angels | 38c | 122.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Angels | 38c | 119.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Angels | 39c | 118.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Angels | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Angels | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Orioles | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Angels | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Angels | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Angels | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Angels | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.