MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f05092f3eddbb0b7dd7240b66f0e2d0581cfd301293a09486c30e4fbd142a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Braves, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 44c | 50,283$22,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,011.85 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 28c | 27,659$7,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 60c | 25,021$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,020.52 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Reds | 57c | 20,675$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,875.39 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Reds | 56c | 19,426$10,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,547.33 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 56c | 14,752$8,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.05 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves | 35c | 14,428$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Braves | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 30c | 9,602$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.41 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Braves | 4c | 8,020$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 67c | 7,735$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 43c | 7,300$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Braves | 40c | 7,031$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.01 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Reds | 56c | 6,750$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 44c | 6,285$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…9521backed Reds | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Reds | 63c | 5,158$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.12 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Braves | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Reds | 56c | 4,860$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.8 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…db7abacked Reds | 57c | 4,385$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…e325backed Braves | 43c | 4,186$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Braves | 6c | 3,838$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 19c | 3,608$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Reds | 56c | 3,565$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.79 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 53c | 3,550$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.85 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccb…6178backed Braves | 43c | 3,489$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 32c | 3,388$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Reds | 79c | 3,198$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.63 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Braves | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Reds | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Braves | 42c | 2,780$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 59c | 2,634$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.5 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Braves | 43c | 2,473$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…803fbacked Braves | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Reds | 56c | 2,191$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.13 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 56c | 2,103$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.19 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 56c | 2,008$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.58 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 43c | 1,787$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.95 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…64e0backed Braves | 5c | 1,759$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Reds | 58c | 1,754$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 44c | 1,625$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Braves | 42c | 1,547$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.89 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Reds | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Braves | 43c | 1,482$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 57c | 1,385$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.59 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 44c | 1,367$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.27 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Reds | 63c | 1,281$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Reds | 75c | 1,276$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.76 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Reds | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Braves | 42c | 1,105$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 42c | 1,041$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Reds | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Braves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 11c | 981$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 44c | 886.45$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.04 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Reds | 57c | 832.77$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 34c | 830.26$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 44c | 799.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 41c | 783$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…3b48backed Braves | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Reds | 56c | 777.57$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Braves | 43c | 767.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Braves | 2c | 731$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Reds | 58c | 728.33$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 42c | 722.18$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Braves | 41c | 711.4$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…60fabacked Braves | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Reds | 57c | 612.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Reds | 58c | 609.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Braves | 44c | 570$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 56c | 534.64$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Reds | 58c | 518$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Reds | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Reds | 57c | 499.91$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Braves | 32c | 489.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Braves | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Braves | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Braves | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Reds | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 26c | 435.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Reds | 55c | 419.69$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 62c | 406.45$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Braves | 43c | 396.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Braves | 46c | 371.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 57c | 371.6$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 40c | 350.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 44c | 349.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Braves | 43c | 340.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 24c | 321.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 45c | 281.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Braves | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Reds | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 56c | 239.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.