TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Vikings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vikingsof Jets, Vikings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf04f…2f40backed Jets2c14,655$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Jets43c12,763$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.4432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Jets44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+49.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Jets29c9,103$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.936944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c7…8371backed Vikings58c8,626$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.862245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Jets42c8,370$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.045433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Jets22c6,839$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.6617823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ee…d947backed Vikings57c5,826$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.351010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-82.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Vikings56c4,540$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.5812843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Vikings79c4,343$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.2422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Jets13c4,205$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3833328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2f…746cbacked Vikings57c4,158$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Vikings57c4,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…3052backed Vikings56c3,566$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+72.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1856…1964backed Vikings75c3,269$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.923860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Vikings56c3,084$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.512051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Jets20c2,674$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1416036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd6…27d3backed Jets12c2,649$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.922040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe7a…3ef4backed Jets44c2,566$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818d…282cbacked Jets45c2,368$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+155.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jets25c2,358$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6414457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Vikings56c2,340$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1d1…1e37backed Jets28c2,196$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Jets16c2,043$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7516439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Vikings58c2,000$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.093756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e1…9af1backed Jets43c1,850$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89a…d1bbbacked Vikings56c1,850$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f7…138bbacked Jets45c1,812$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…c349backed Vikings56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7921050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc040…5649backed Vikings57c1,602$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b01…2491backed Jets44c1,601$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x843e…e785backed Jets44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Jets13c1,461$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1321713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Vikings71c1,325$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1511821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets13c1,268$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4852828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4984…1d51backed Vikings58c1,122$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Jets34c1,059$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.516832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…3b04backed Jets46c1,022$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets39c1,017$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1444246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ca…9f7abacked Vikings57c1,008$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Jets46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Vikings54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf9…00bcbacked Jets46c946.18$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c4…ae78backed Jets45c928.7$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e91…b801backed Jets34c739.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.035034%17 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Jets25c696.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.313540%14 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfbc…c66ebacked Vikings58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Jets45c670$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Jets3c661.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Vikings72c656.08$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.462871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc27…a69dbacked Vikings58c635.55$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842c…2e53backed Jets30c617.87$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.619842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb620…dd7abacked Vikings56c600$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b43…1de3backed Jets14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Jets43c599.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.997054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Jets21c595.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.124065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Vikings56c557.14$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1421454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…e46ebacked Jets18c556.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb219…5d8abacked Jets45c446.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Jets14c420$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.822838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings57c405.6$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0118144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Jets16c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626018.3%11 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-55.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd86…36b3backed Jets43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xed3e…21a8backed Vikings67c397.37$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.212360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Vikings57c390.6$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9613040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Jets16c379.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.892552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Jets45c357.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4da8…04d3backed Vikings56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Vikings58c353.03$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.274577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf318…0cdcbacked Vikings57c351.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Vikings65c350$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247467.6%50 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc08…2f6bbacked Jets14c346$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4412435.5%44 W · 80 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Vikings57c345.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5110256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc675…a832backed Vikings58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jets42c333$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8620736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Jets45c302.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13611949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b89…b2aabacked Vikings56c302$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.885738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…bbe5backed Vikings57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1295100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ce6…4b21backed Jets44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Vikings56c285.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.62850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Jets44c276.36$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.695945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0094…4551backed Vikings58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce4…4db9backed Vikings58c256.9$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…9ff2backed Vikings58c251.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe51d…429cbacked Vikings58c251.21$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb4…8843backed Vikings58c250.86$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…30d1backed Vikings55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2833…e1edbacked Jets45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Jets42c244.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.549946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8783…d93abacked Vikings58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd234…43fcbacked Vikings56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.64337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acb…e88fbacked Jets44c238.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d90…d769backed Vikings57c237.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked Vikings57c231.3$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.34656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe61e…21bfbacked Jets30c231.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Vikings57c227.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c4…0356backed Jets45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…31d3backed Vikings57c221.54$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Vikings74c219.04$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.449729.9%29 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Jets31c215$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.