MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf97176464b4d2b0e67ae23f50da96fe00604d0670a9580e462a626f8c9587d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Red Sox | 50c | 28,546$14,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,305.64 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 51c | 20,270$10,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rays | 49c | 19,999$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.51 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 0c | 16,050$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 50c | 11,609$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rays | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 50c | 3,950$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Red Sox | 51c | 3,929$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.17 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 45c | 3,693$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 50c | 3,574$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.98 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 26c | 3,308$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 3,257$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.44 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Rays | 50c | 3,211$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Rays | 28c | 3,033$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.7 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rays | 22c | 2,270$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Rays | 25c | 2,082$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,881$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,679$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.04 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 50c | 1,614$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 50c | 1,409$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.5 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 49c | 1,248$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.81 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 50c | 1,142$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rays | 50c | 1,139$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.27 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,015$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Rays | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Red Sox | 51c | 925$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Rays | 49c | 924.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 915.57$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.79 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays | 51c | 912.3$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.13 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 864$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 6c | 699.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 27c | 669$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 73c | 669$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rays | 48c | 636.17$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 50c | 635$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 23c | 608.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Rays | 30c | 556.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Red Sox | 68c | 555.15$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 50c | 509.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Rays | 49c | 494.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rays | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Rays | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Rays | 2c | 450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 42c | 385$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Rays | 50c | 321.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 10c | 309$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rays | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Red Sox | 51c | 298.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…e9a3backed Red Sox | 50c | 296$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…1966backed Rays | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Red Sox | 51c | 269.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Rays | 29c | 255.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 6c | 245.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 34c | 230$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rays | 5c | 224.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 6c | 223.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Red Sox | 51c | 221.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Rays | 46c | 218.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Rays | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 51c | 195.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Red Sox | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…4c24backed Red Sox | 74c | 155.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Red Sox | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 23c | 150.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Red Sox | 51c | 149.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Rays | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Rays | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Rays | 27c | 125.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rays | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 50c | 118.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rays | 17c | 117.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Rays | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 28c | 111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox | 76c | 107.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rays | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Rays | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Rays | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 50c | 92.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.