Us Politics · resolved market

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa8f18b40269c9c9a0c313f8bdb64fa5ace55f12425a16af3b6bd16ae626899

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $548,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $555,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,798 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdf55…eb6abacked No	41c	55,277$22,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,613.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57bc…ec65backed Yes	59c	55,277$32,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,613.43	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6cc…b1dcbacked Yes	37c	52,889$19,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,568.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2995…6d7abacked No	63c	52,889$33,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,568.93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163a…d5cebacked Yes	47c	40,922$19,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,233.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98ec…5251backed No	53c	40,922$21,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,233.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8274…335bbacked Yes	53c	36,106$19,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,136.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd781…b3e9backed No	47c	36,106$16,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,136.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…4ae3backed No	51c	32,213$16,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,784.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1f…842cbacked Yes	49c	32,213$15,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,784.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes	48c	7,748$3,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,748.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…d3f8backed No	51c	5,891$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,891.33	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	63cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	45c	5,437$2,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,424.5	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+9.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb30f…9505backed No	48c	2,937$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	2c	2,539$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-93.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6a…bee7backed No	59c	2,507$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.01	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae78…701cbacked No	67c	2,500$1,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.1	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes	33c	2,363$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.6	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked No	72c	2,217$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.64	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	26c	2,060$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.41	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes	34c	2,042$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.35	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	45c	1,592$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.13	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fd…8bc3backed No	50c	1,553$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.63	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+6.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	68c	1,540$1,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.51	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No	52c	1,538$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.47	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	39c	1,500$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.85	378	44.4%168 W · 210 L	+33.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed No	76c	1,443$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.77	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	40c	1,430$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.91	395	22.8%90 W · 305 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709b…0a0abacked Yes	42c	1,422$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d17…9558backed No	67c	1,272$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.07	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes	7c	1,271$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.95	183	22.4%41 W · 142 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9a…de87backed No	50c	1,270$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.51	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.1wins	+0.23per pick	45cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4427…9016backed No	61c	1,116$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.26	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.5wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-71%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	43c	1,098$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.59	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes	2c	1,036$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+8.7wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	35c	1,007$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.01	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8756…b36cbacked No	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes	49c	974.2$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.19	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44e…67e2backed No	48c	843.63$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.04	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09c…383dbacked Yes	52c	814.33$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.15	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	45c	774.1$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.91	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked No	47c	771$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.92	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.22per pick	52cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes	54c	715.76$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.41	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d85…4df9backed No	51c	700.13$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.47	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	57c	699.99$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.99	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	60c	685.49$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.64	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4273…19d8backed Yes	52c	661.29$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.97	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x978b…7e07backed Yes	40c	653.46$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Yes	53c	643.47$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+147.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes	9c	640.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	47c	620$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.2	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No	57c	600$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	75	56%42 W · 33 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x203b…6f16backed Yes	32c	594.68$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	43c	585.83$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.21	71	67.6%48 W · 23 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee64…c04ebacked Yes	53c	567.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066a…550dbacked No	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes	53c	500$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.64	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	39c	496.23$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.81	180	33.3%60 W · 120 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	52c	490.78$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.54	283	20.5%58 W · 225 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9795…1328backed No	56c	420.34$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.34	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f46…2cd1backed No	76c	419.53$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.01	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes	47c	400$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.29	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…86b5backed Yes	50c	368.74$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.37	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	58c	344.81$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.81	136	73.5%100 W · 36 L	+28.4wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	19c	324.15$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.52	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	10c	322$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…4238backed No	63c	316.45$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.45	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+7.2wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No	57c	312.69$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.08	76	75%57 W · 19 L	+9.4wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes	37c	310$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.55	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aef…6a38backed Yes	55c	309.99$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.09	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	28c	309.78$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	52c	309.61$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.1	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	51c	308.81$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.16	240	35.4%85 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked No	66c	301.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.82	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No	51c	300.89$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.23	153	32.7%50 W · 103 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd478…4fa1backed No	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.02	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No	62c	299.99$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x662c…bfe7backed No	54c	280.16$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.16	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb67…aa22backed No	56c	262.99$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e3…d432backed No	53c	257.03$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62f8…7737backed No	40c	230.18$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.34	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+8.5wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	59c	229.15$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.96	567	33.2%188 W · 379 L	-40.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x433a…71e7backed Yes	36c	226.75$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.7	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01d6…bf6ebacked Yes	44c	220.77$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9b…7606backed No	45c	217.97$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.1	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090c…b0cfbacked No	48c	210$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+43%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked No	54c	201.72$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.52	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x821f…c3ffbacked Yes	50c	201.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed No	76c	200$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e6b…9390backed Yes	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d50…b4a7backed Yes	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cf…3349backed No	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.2	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked No	49c	199.51$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.75	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41c…ba2fbacked Yes	52c	192.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaed5…c699backed Yes	52c	191.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes	33c	184.25$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.32	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	64c	181.99$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.47	150	32.7%49 W · 101 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?this page
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Brazil before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?Yes won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Mexico before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?No won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event