MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83bba411246543efde22addf70efe9b2afc06d932ef6a79ed0f63e88bfd14f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Cardinals, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates | 45c | 50,000$22,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,548.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Cardinals | 54c | 44,516$24,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,100 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 46c | 35,964$16,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,410.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 54c | 26,562$14,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,343.34 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Cardinals | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates | 45c | 18,405$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.92 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Cardinals | 55c | 11,137$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 7,335$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.68 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…0280backed Cardinals | 55c | 6,303$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cardinals | 56c | 6,000$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.97 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 55c | 5,018$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 48c | 4,662$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 4,172$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cardinals | 56c | 3,620$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.13 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 42c | 3,606$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.39 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 45c | 3,470$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.33 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cardinals | 54c | 3,386$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.22 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 51c | 3,307$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,966$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.7 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 55c | 2,909$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 32c | 2,583$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,408$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 43c | 2,300$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.97 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cardinals | 62c | 2,178$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.82 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 46c | 1,819$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.11 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,660$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.12 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 43c | 1,653$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.07 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Cardinals | 55c | 1,600$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.11 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 1,589$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,443$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 43c | 1,425$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.35 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,355$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.35 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Pirates | 46c | 1,164$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.56 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,081$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.11 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Pirates | 46c | 1,076$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.37 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,059$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 42c | 1,036$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Cardinals | 58c | 1,013$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.62 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cardinals | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cardinals | 57c | 962.63$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.7 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 47c | 807.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cardinals | 35c | 786.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.61 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Cardinals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…6e99backed Cardinals | 35c | 720.79$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Pirates | 71c | 697.79$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cardinals | 22c | 640$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cardinals | 33c | 599.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates | 40c | 584.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cardinals | 52c | 578.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 3c | 575$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Cardinals | 54c | 548.14$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Pirates | 44c | 540.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 511$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 490.11$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 58c | 484.14$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cardinals | 34c | 483.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 42c | 447.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Cardinals | 57c | 446.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cardinals | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 42c | 375$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 65c | 373.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Pirates | 54c | 372.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 41c | 325.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Pirates | 70c | 283.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Pirates | 44c | 279.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Cardinals | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…5b8ebacked Cardinals | 57c | 245$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 56c | 234.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 54c | 232.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…7213backed Cardinals | 57c | 232$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Pirates | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Pirates | 66c | 225.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cardinals | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4e…c558backed Cardinals | 57c | 215$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…d38fbacked Pirates | 43c | 215$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Cardinals | 53c | 212.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Pirates | 47c | 210.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Pirates | 44c | 209.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…7515backed Pirates | 43c | 203$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 46c | 201.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cardinals | 34c | 186.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 41c | 172.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Cardinals | 57c | 171.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Pirates | 66c | 152.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…a06cbacked Pirates | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cardinals | 29c | 140.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541b…12b7backed Pirates | 43c | 139$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cardinals | 55c | 132.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Pirates | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777a…7bdebacked Cardinals | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Pirates | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.