MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x173ef5c1246997dc660f07079965b308224feb29db77c70aa8f74e9db9213010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Pirates, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,686,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,802,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,686,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Pirates | 33c | 1,240,696$406,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406,070.52 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers | 68c | 518,820$353,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,840.68 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 68c | 212,800$144,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,579.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 67c | 143,728$96,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,359.4 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Brewers | 68c | 61,553$41,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000.14 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 32c | 58,328$18,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,672.25 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 68c | 50,000$33,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,010 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Brewers | 68c | 42,991$29,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,861.08 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Brewers | 67c | 41,000$27,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,530 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 32c | 37,893$12,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,125.67 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked Brewers | 67c | 30,303$20,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 71c | 28,553$20,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,413.11 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 32c | 23,674$7,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,457.31 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Brewers | 68c | 15,975$10,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.27 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Brewers | 69c | 15,431$10,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.13 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Brewers | 68c | 15,030$10,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Brewers | 68c | 14,586$9,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.52 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 68c | 14,160$9,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pirates | 32c | 13,352$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.56 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Brewers | 69c | 13,086$9,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.77 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 70c | 7,864$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.39 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Pirates | 33c | 7,227$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Pirates | 33c | 6,634$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Pirates | 31c | 6,358$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.88 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed Brewers | 66c | 6,209$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 68c | 5,500$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pirates | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 30c | 4,545$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.55 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Pirates | 33c | 4,542$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.72 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 67c | 4,519$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.25 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Brewers | 69c | 4,490$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.81 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Brewers | 67c | 4,230$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 66c | 3,804$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.53 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 18c | 3,730$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Brewers | 68c | 3,132$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.35 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Pirates | 29c | 3,100$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.08 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Brewers | 68c | 3,026$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.45 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pirates | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed Brewers | 68c | 2,913$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Brewers | 68c | 2,800$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 69c | 2,678$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.12 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Brewers | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 69c | 2,400$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 66c | 2,100$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 69c | 2,033$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.34 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…5688backed Brewers | 68c | 2,015$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…0f95backed Pirates | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 32c | 2,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Pirates | 31c | 1,919$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 15c | 1,832$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…3641backed Pirates | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…56e8backed Pirates | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Brewers | 68c | 1,634$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.72 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pirates | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 20c | 1,600$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Brewers | 66c | 1,593$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed Brewers | 68c | 1,572$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 32c | 1,557$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brewers | 69c | 1,482$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.42 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Brewers | 67c | 1,450$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Pirates | 19c | 1,286$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 26c | 1,156$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 65c | 1,150$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…18ddbacked Brewers | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 68c | 1,045$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…f77abacked Brewers | 66c | 1,030$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…9bcebacked Brewers | 66c | 1,009$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Brewers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4dc1backed Pirates | 34c | 982$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 27c | 945$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Brewers | 67c | 940$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…be6ebacked Brewers | 66c | 939$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…aacdbacked Pirates | 34c | 918$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 34c | 899.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…b4edbacked Brewers | 66c | 891$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…8c91backed Brewers | 67c | 877.96$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 34c | 869.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 2c | 837.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 34c | 820$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 67c | 813.99$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Brewers | 70c | 796.9$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…c89fbacked Brewers | 70c | 789.93$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…0d88backed Brewers | 66c | 770$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Brewers | 69c | 762.46$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 75c | 758.82$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Brewers | 68c | 703$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 67c | 699$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Pirates | 32c | 630$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Brewers | 68c | 620.74$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Pirates | 32c | 594.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Pirates | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 34c | 540.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.