MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014f3ce554e7eb741bb200ed07dbffac2cdc650446b27b41def872d1be08b6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Dodgers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,666,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,683,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,666,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Reds | 41c | 1,275,535$522,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752,615.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 703,561$415,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415,101.16 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 227,630$134,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,247.44 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 165,888$97,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,640.88 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…6073backed Reds | 42c | 134,126$56,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,793.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers | 58c | 125,500$73,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,299 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 50,000$29,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers | 59c | 41,163$24,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,285.88 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers | 59c | 26,000$15,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,440 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Dodgers | 0c | 20,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 58c | 20,187$11,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,704.58 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Reds | 44c | 18,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,099.81 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers | 59c | 17,590$10,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,378.1 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 15,838$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404.34 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 42c | 11,919$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,918.87 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 50c | 10,757$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.69 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 9,200$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 41c | 7,978$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 47c | 7,626$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 7,087$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dodgers | 48c | 5,935$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.73 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 4,600$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Dodgers | 44c | 4,522$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 41c | 4,500$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.36 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 4,424$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.39 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 59c | 4,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers | 59c | 4,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dodgers | 53c | 3,733$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.68 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers | 60c | 3,675$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 3,200$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Dodgers | 60c | 3,071$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.8 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,993$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.95 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 30c | 2,207$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.79 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Reds | 45c | 2,000$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,977$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,958$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.5 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,780$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 43c | 1,745$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,426$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.19 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,417$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 46c | 1,384$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,359$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.81 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,340$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 50c | 1,320$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.1 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Reds | 40c | 1,255$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,210$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 47c | 1,098$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.89 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 14c | 1,023$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 52c | 962.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 55c | 848.44$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.26 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Dodgers | 47c | 836.84$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.84 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 40c | 833.33$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 824.35$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.45 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Reds | 44c | 798.12$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aad…790dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Dodgers | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 737.6$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.18 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 42c | 708.74$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Dodgers | 4c | 704.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 45c | 684.62$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Dodgers | 58c | 625$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.79 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Reds | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Dodgers | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Dodgers | 63c | 596.67$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 61c | 580.78$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Dodgers | 58c | 531.02$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers | 59c | 503.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Dodgers | 56c | 473.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers | 55c | 431$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Reds | 53c | 405.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Dodgers | 55c | 360.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked Dodgers | 49c | 355.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 41c | 354$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 39c | 347.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Dodgers | 50c | 332.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Dodgers | 63c | 326.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 40c | 325$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Reds | 41c | 325$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Dodgers | 63c | 322.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Dodgers | 54c | 278.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Reds | 53c | 277.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Reds | 38c | 273.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Reds | 40c | 255.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Dodgers | 4c | 254.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.