MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5010e6aff3cb60b9da052e0404d271cbdedc41a8ee7c0b7382919d2e4f80fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Mariners | 76c | 25,054$19,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,136.24 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Twins | 44c | 20,149$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,283.25 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 60c | 17,834$10,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,685.12 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 41c | 11,110$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,554.89 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 56c | 7,815$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.52 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 68c | 7,204$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.29 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mariners | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.98 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Twins | 41c | 6,417$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.23 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 26c | 5,226$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twins | 12c | 5,089$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.11 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 38c | 4,783$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 64c | 4,782$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.72 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Mariners | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 40c | 3,875$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 39c | 3,212$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.32 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 30c | 2,728$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.2 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 42c | 2,500$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.07 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Twins | 44c | 1,980$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 58c | 1,948$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 42c | 1,842$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.51 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5d7abacked Mariners | 5c | 1,829$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 40c | 1,718$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Twins | 38c | 1,685$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.7 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Twins | 28c | 1,214$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 60c | 1,206$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 9c | 1,152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Twins | 43c | 1,126$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.05 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Twins | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 8c | 1,099$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.56 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Mariners | 60c | 1,025$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Twins | 21c | 1,011$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.13 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 16c | 962.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Mariners | 61c | 820.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Twins | 43c | 797.27$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Twins | 6c | 705.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Twins | 38c | 696.76$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Mariners | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Mariners | 80c | 540$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.4 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 26c | 518.58$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 78c | 512.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 44c | 511$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Twins | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Twins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twins | 51c | 491.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…9179backed Twins | 43c | 480.91$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 60c | 455.65$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Twins | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5126…cf14backed Twins | 44c | 447.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…499fbacked Twins | 44c | 421.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Mariners | 56c | 419.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins | 10c | 409.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.28 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…dd14backed Twins | 43c | 402.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…b329backed Twins | 44c | 383.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…1a5ebacked Twins | 44c | 379.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…2238backed Mariners | 58c | 369.03$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Mariners | 58c | 360.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…2c99backed Twins | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1eebbacked Mariners | 58c | 359.62$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…ac6dbacked Mariners | 58c | 358.74$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…eabcbacked Mariners | 58c | 358.64$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…4dbebacked Twins | 44c | 330.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…4e83backed Mariners | 58c | 326.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…7381backed Twins | 44c | 326.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Twins | 44c | 321.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 64c | 314.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 56c | 308.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Mariners | 57c | 305.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…7665backed Mariners | 58c | 304.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Twins | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Twins | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 55c | 299.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 57c | 296.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…a80abacked Mariners | 58c | 290.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…950ebacked Mariners | 57c | 278.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…2950backed Mariners | 57c | 275.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 43c | 271.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Twins | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 60c | 249.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Mariners | 57c | 230$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mariners | 59c | 204.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Twins | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 59c | 199.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 61c | 177.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Twins | 14c | 175.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…941abacked Mariners | 57c | 168.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Twins | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mariners | 57c | 160.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.