TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Athletics, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$586,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x343d…456ebacked Athletics37c245,070$89,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,922.123360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rays69c146,786$101,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,520.1686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Rays64c44,995$28,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,198.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays57c34,494$19,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,973.0297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays57c34,238$19,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,736.392,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays63c29,876$18,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,054.191,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays65c26,777$17,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,460.331,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics35c20,915$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,219.7124553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Athletics35c20,000$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,978.2514747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rays59c12,242$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,961.51,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rays50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c0e…db7abacked Rays67c9,999$6,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccb…6178backed Athletics33c9,997$3,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Athletics36c8,683$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.11540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Athletics36c5,921$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Athletics24c5,275$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26012640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…3332backed Athletics28c5,058$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Rays64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8009749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Athletics33c4,800$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.9438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Athletics34c4,700$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.9827953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays63c4,582$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rays44c4,464$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics33c4,444$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays66c4,344$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.052,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays66c3,967$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.7831346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Rays66c3,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.6128646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rays51c3,069$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.6545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rays64c3,000$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rays64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays63c2,971$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.211,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rays66c2,950$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.9643654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Athletics59c2,569$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.567450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rays65c2,551$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.9326949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rays66c2,286$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.1769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9850…4708backed Rays66c2,272$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics1c2,269$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8740629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Athletics33c2,197$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.945764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Rays64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7208156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Athletics36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics34c1,927$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.271,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Athletics24c1,912$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.769725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics2c1,711$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.578762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14f…7926backed Athletics42c1,605$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays61c1,522$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Athletics33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Rays55c1,114$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.312123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Rays65c1,053$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.77651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rays52c1,024$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.561,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rays65c943.67$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.75,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Athletics53c941.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Athletics50c912.93$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5131248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Athletics45c880.87$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.738741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays65c808$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics2c763.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.345053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Athletics51c663.16$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5347348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Athletics34c648.62$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.836648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Athletics51c604.57$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3339739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x467a…0727backed Rays61c595.92$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.411533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Athletics36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Rays46c548.72$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3118236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe341…273bbacked Athletics31c531.14$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.342343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Rays53c530.31$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3129240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rays63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Rays46c476.29$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8610719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fa…b277backed Athletics42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics34c470.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Rays66c450$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15314150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Rays52c446.15$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.153650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rays60c425.94$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.121044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Athletics48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Athletics24c407$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.624953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13620448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics34c390.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12044443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rays68c366.67$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6751953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x044c…a476backed Rays60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Rays67c322$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.268356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Rays67c295.52$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.523560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Athletics36c278.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Athletics36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Athletics35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Rays45c222.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.384748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rays57c219.71$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x061f…546fbacked Athletics46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rays46c215.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.411446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed Rays66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.121872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Rays49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rays69c200.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Rays61c200.21$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2913946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rays67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rays65c195.2$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Rays65c186.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Athletics34c177$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1814146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e2…21d0backed Athletics58c173.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Athletics42c170.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.520944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Athletics46c168.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.542828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Athletics34c165$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.521,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.