TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Pirates, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Padres66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.3927948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Padres63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40012650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,40020850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates34c11,205$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.71,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd54f…ec81backed Padres64c9,998$6,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…63d5backed Pirates36c9,997$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Padres79c9,936$7,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.1621356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dcb…4928backed Padres66c8,317$5,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates34c6,087$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.911,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Pirates7c5,648$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.283943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates16c5,433$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.172,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates35c5,253$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.7576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates35c5,152$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.0560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates36c3,653$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.9623752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates35c3,187$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.032,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pirates31c3,067$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.321,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Pirates56c2,341$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.974858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates31c2,121$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.8897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Padres63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c4…8c91backed Pirates35c1,886$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Padres65c1,527$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.738457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55525550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pirates24c1,381$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab0…7720backed Pirates35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates24c1,095$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates32c1,049$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.111,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pirates24c1,047$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Padres64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa702…b3bbbacked Padres65c967$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…9545backed Padres65c918$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates34c891.32$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…a2e8backed Padres65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…73dcbacked Padres65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Pirates36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Pirates25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe190…a627backed Pirates36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Pirates19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pirates37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed Pirates16c500$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.022646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Padres63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18511757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates23c494.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7339436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Pirates25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Padres78c462.34$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe94…7bb6backed Pirates15c460$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.251717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338a…259fbacked Pirates37c445.25$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x398c…3738backed Pirates36c426.03$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Pirates33c403.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.87841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c7…de50backed Pirates35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeec4…e6a5backed Pirates36c355.38$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.55949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Pirates35c347.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7915949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates21c343$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4840547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Pirates9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b1…0fb8backed Padres66c324.89$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357c…1ea1backed Padres65c321.15$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec77…1660backed Padres65c320.83$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…c59abacked Padres65c315.6$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e0…6f02backed Pirates36c309.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Padres65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…1a05backed Pirates37c306.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47a3…f1ecbacked Padres65c305.75$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Padres64c301.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.383333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Padres63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11113555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Padres50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc1…d442backed Pirates36c299.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac6…89c4backed Pirates37c298.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x537f…7ccebacked Padres65c291.4$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4a…7568backed Pirates36c289.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe155…c022backed Padres65c289.58$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf990…90f2backed Pirates36c288.75$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd954…cbebbacked Pirates36c285.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.91944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Pirates36c284.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b7…8a6bbacked Padres64c279.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe956…64adbacked Pirates36c276.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda41…9b18backed Padres64c274.41$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9657…4faebacked Padres65c265.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc07…50cabacked Padres65c248.09$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Pirates35c245$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pirates37c243.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9122312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Padres65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7719233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Padres64c228.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.134146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates37c226$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4965549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Pirates25c210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Padres64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Padres65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates17c183.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Pirates35c163.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7843250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Pirates39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.414047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres66c152.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.152,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Padres66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5274356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pirates17c129.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Pirates18c129$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8217927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates35c119.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.991,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4a…104fbacked Pirates22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bea…acd4backed Pirates20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.