MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad477c90a04bf72bc0dc91fddd04e8c8a26de5bd6f8294d099d00ae184e2588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof White Sox, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Astros | 74c | 15,188$11,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.35 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked White Sox | 28c | 13,874$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.64 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d28cbacked White Sox | 30c | 9,995$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…c077backed Astros | 70c | 9,995$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 15c | 9,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 28c | 5,450$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.21 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 68c | 5,282$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.26 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed White Sox | 0c | 5,130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 71c | 5,126$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked White Sox | 32c | 4,452$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.62 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 32c | 4,003$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.89 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 69c | 3,480$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.65 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 72c | 3,406$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.79 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 33c | 3,351$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.83 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed White Sox | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Astros | 62c | 2,342$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.46 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 70c | 2,250$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed White Sox | 2c | 1,845$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked White Sox | 29c | 1,670$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 75c | 1,424$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 10c | 1,236$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 68c | 1,214$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 2c | 1,125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed White Sox | 38c | 1,115$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.67 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked White Sox | 8c | 1,067$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed White Sox | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed White Sox | 27c | 996.47$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed White Sox | 10c | 955$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 68c | 954.5$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.44 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 30c | 916.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.08 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 17c | 803$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 71c | 780.98$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked White Sox | 11c | 707.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 68c | 672.39$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 67c | 666.87$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 34c | 560.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.69 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked White Sox | 29c | 466.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked White Sox | 15c | 463.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 14c | 449.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked White Sox | 9c | 441$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox | 4c | 364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed White Sox | 31c | 364$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked White Sox | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed White Sox | 7c | 345.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 4c | 337.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox | 30c | 335.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Astros | 70c | 333.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed White Sox | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 68c | 319.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 32c | 313.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 70c | 309$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 66c | 305.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox | 32c | 299.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 28c | 295.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…3c68backed Astros | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 70c | 246.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked White Sox | 18c | 245.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed White Sox | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed White Sox | 30c | 216.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 30c | 183.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Astros | 70c | 176.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed White Sox | 28c | 170.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Astros | 58c | 150.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed White Sox | 29c | 149.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 30c | 148.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 30c | 140.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…6e69backed White Sox | 32c | 137.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 15c | 137.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Astros | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed White Sox | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Astros | 67c | 131.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…7864backed White Sox | 31c | 123.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…2338backed Astros | 71c | 119.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…7ba2backed White Sox | 32c | 116.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Astros | 71c | 112.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8e76backed Astros | 71c | 106.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed White Sox | 19c | 105.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Astros | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox | 32c | 100.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Astros | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Astros | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…2a5fbacked Astros | 71c | 96.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…ca82backed Astros | 71c | 94.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…ce76backed White Sox | 31c | 92.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 70c | 91.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed Astros | 68c | 89.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Astros | 72c | 85.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed White Sox | 30c | 84.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Astros | 67c | 77.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed White Sox | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…1cadbacked White Sox | 29c | 75.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…3187backed White Sox | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.