CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Liquid vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c34644dbf9626061e7856ea599ba8df9e1fd2f5f15805206efeda2318c5dc86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Liquid, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 12,219$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,179.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liquid | 51c | 10,513$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,407.03 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 6,212$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.61 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Liquid | 57c | 5,947$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.88 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Liquid | 63c | 3,785$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.42 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Liquid | 67c | 3,740$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liquid | 68c | 3,654$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.8 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Liquid | 12c | 3,182$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.84 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Lynn Vision | 68c | 2,913$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.29 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 65c | 2,900$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Liquid | 68c | 2,431$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.37 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Lynn Vision | 35c | 2,122$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 2,100$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Liquid | 34c | 1,884$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Lynn Vision | 36c | 1,650$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid | 50c | 1,415$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.98 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid | 65c | 1,006$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.08 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Lynn Vision | 49c | 852$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Lynn Vision | 67c | 827.48$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 697.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.3 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liquid | 64c | 649.99$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.49 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Liquid | 52c | 605$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Liquid | 14c | 467$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Lynn Vision | 35c | 442.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.56 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 411.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Liquid | 52c | 334.01$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Lynn Vision | 35c | 305.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 232.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…a0f0backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 203.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Liquid | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Liquid | 65c | 161.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…7a75backed Liquid | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Liquid | 15c | 133.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…d305backed Liquid | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 124.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Lynn Vision | 35c | 124$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid | 14c | 124$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Liquid | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 91.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Liquid | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 82.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Liquid | 67c | 78.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…1a44backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 76.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 75.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Lynn Vision | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 74.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Liquid | 67c | 74.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed Liquid | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Liquid | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…fdfcbacked Liquid | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Liquid | 66c | 45.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Lynn Vision | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…c49cbacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed Liquid | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…aa57backed Lynn Vision | 48c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…6d12backed Lynn Vision | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…38b1backed Liquid | 74c | 19.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.