CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bdccd46230bc64f1e2b2358ba024cc82b3654bfb2201616bd77d4206cd46898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 2,520$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Legacy | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,813$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.23 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Legacy | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy | 44c | 930.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.11 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 780.86$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.13 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 733.08$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Legacy | 35c | 504$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Legacy | 69c | 379.55$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Legacy | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 285$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Legacy | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Legacy | 45c | 255.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Legacy | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 241.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Legacy | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Legacy | 40c | 185.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Legacy | 57c | 174.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…05a0backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 170$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Legacy | 35c | 160.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Legacy | 45c | 127.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed Legacy | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Legacy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Legacy | 36c | 94.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 75.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Legacy | 46c | 64.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…1a44backed Legacy | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Legacy | 55c | 54.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…c566backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…333bbacked Legacy | 51c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.