Tennis · resolved market
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c1af40ff988d54721a0c0c26a53f9b82528276ce9cd17f6ffe2366ff34f16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 43c | 10,193$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.65 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 78c | 8,061$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 23c | 7,348$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.56 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 11c | 7,314$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,509.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 60c | 3,927$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.65 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Yes | 56c | 3,285$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 58c | 2,895$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.07 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 30c | 2,565$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.67 | 949 | 40.1%381 W · 568 L | +30.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 21c | 2,415$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.17 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…487ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,348$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 29c | 1,750$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 41c | 1,737$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.22 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 1,621$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.39 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 79c | 1,546$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed No | 69c | 1,419$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 41c | 1,264$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.17 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Yes | 75c | 1,263$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,071$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +456.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 66c | 975.91$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 41c | 911.65$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 45c | 875.55$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 37c | 860$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.66 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 48c | 797.54$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1e18backed Yes | 35c | 715$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Yes | 79c | 645.74$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 35c | 628.45$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 62c | 618$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.31 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 65c | 571.76$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 538.63$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…c8a2backed Yes | 41c | 532.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 30c | 511.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Yes | 72c | 492.59$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.29 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Yes | 77c | 422.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bb…882bbacked Yes | 77c | 385.65$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Yes | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 343.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Yes | 63c | 333.21$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Yes | 76c | 280.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 68c | 258.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Yes | 30c | 250.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 40c | 250.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a4…9ac8backed Yes | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…ae3abacked Yes | 41c | 243.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed No | 52c | 242.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 78c | 224.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2178backed Yes | 55c | 195$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…6f9fbacked Yes | 36c | 194.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 40c | 187.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…20c4backed No | 57c | 180.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…d272backed Yes | 77c | 163.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…e9e4backed No | 67c | 158.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 75c | 137.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…9552backed Yes | 47c | 128.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…13c6backed Yes | 44c | 117.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 42c | 110.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc9…7870backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed No | 20c | 101.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +317.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…90d2backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…cb13backed Yes | 40c | 97.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…3c92backed Yes | 45c | 94.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…928bbacked Yes | 55c | 84.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…d2d8backed Yes | 41c | 79.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 71c | 77.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked No | 20c | 73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 58c | 68.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 642 | 40.2%258 W · 384 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…b319backed No | 27c | 67.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7990backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…8367backed Yes | 75c | 66.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb65…4ca1backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Yes | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 64cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 79c | 62.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…1a38backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…a22ebacked No | 71c | 59.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…a0debacked Yes | 40c | 57.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…a2e5backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…d181backed Yes | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…0b16backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 75c | 48.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 79c | 48.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6df9backed Yes | 29c | 48.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…286abacked Yes | 39c | 36.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…5ca9backed Yes | 77c | 34.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…ed46backed Yes | 77c | 32.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…fa0dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…0fcabacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7934backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e4…b590backed Yes | 75c | 28.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?this page
- Will Coco Gauff win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.