Tennis · resolved market
Will Coco Gauff win the Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfce1f657c27b51184d1a9ab5c04251bd3daf3400bbbca9e1b0c1615b4908d731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Yes | 20c | 1,805$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 1,364$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…2f6ebacked Yes | 14c | 188.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…1a38backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 19c | 129.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…7f8cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…ae3abacked Yes | 55c | 91.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…d2d8backed Yes | 19c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 18c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coco Gauff win the Australian Open?this page
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.