MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86ce27a09adb20a40dcb09799690c9fb8f17be3af36887e115afc1f4876e6806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Dodgers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Padres | 49c | 21,298$10,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,826.28 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Dodgers | 51c | 19,934$10,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,166.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 49c | 18,000$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Padres | 51c | 16,909$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.43 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Padres | 56c | 16,808$9,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.16 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 12c | 16,434$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 70c | 8,883$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 5c | 8,600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Dodgers | 48c | 6,233$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Padres | 54c | 6,065$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.07 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 1c | 5,850$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 53c | 5,828$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers | 14c | 4,525$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.49 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Dodgers | 10c | 3,748$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres | 51c | 3,734$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.61 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Dodgers | 35c | 3,300$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 32c | 3,259$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.68 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 49c | 3,204$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.22 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 77c | 3,165$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 50c | 2,827$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 49c | 2,303$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Dodgers | 47c | 2,277$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 77c | 1,915$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Dodgers | 22c | 1,686$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Dodgers | 10c | 1,615$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Dodgers | 1c | 1,554$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,367$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.4 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Dodgers | 3c | 1,277$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Padres | 51c | 1,247$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 9c | 1,245$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 51c | 1,180$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 52c | 1,178$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.56 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 45c | 1,164$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.84 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,125$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 26c | 1,111$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 51c | 1,094$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 70c | 1,093$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Padres | 50c | 1,046$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.91 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dodgers | 19c | 1,025$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.69 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Padres | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Dodgers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Dodgers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Dodgers | 48c | 894.04$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers | 48c | 832.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Dodgers | 12c | 760.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 21c | 700$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Dodgers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Dodgers | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Padres | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Dodgers | 21c | 532.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Padres | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Dodgers | 51c | 454.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…33e8backed Dodgers | 48c | 424.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Padres | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 52c | 362.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Dodgers | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Dodgers | 51c | 278.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 49c | 266.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 27c | 220.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Padres | 52c | 218.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Dodgers | 51c | 214.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 47c | 212.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…73cbbacked Dodgers | 48c | 207.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…c8dcbacked Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 51c | 198$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers | 55c | 182.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dodgers | 47c | 179.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 55c | 178.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Padres | 48c | 170$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Dodgers | 49c | 154.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 30c | 132.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Dodgers | 50c | 116.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 52c | 115.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Dodgers | 21c | 111.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Dodgers | 44c | 109.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…293fbacked Dodgers | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…ce76backed Padres | 52c | 101.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Dodgers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Dodgers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…e353backed Padres | 51c | 99.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…7864backed Padres | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Dodgers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Dodgers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.