CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. paiN
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e1239bbd1d214036b542838334b220e4d5a2b0f6670bd5f4601dafa4cc666c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof 3DMAX, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf557…18debacked 3DMAX | 61c | 4,602$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 44c | 3,884$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.16 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked paiN | 40c | 2,992$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.31 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked paiN | 41c | 1,850$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed 3DMAX | 26c | 1,800$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed 3DMAX | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed paiN | 38c | 1,650$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 3DMAX | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN | 39c | 999.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed paiN | 65c | 903.68$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked paiN | 40c | 752.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX | 35c | 536$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed 3DMAX | 59c | 511.17$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked 3DMAX | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed 3DMAX | 19c | 489.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed 3DMAX | 59c | 336.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed 3DMAX | 21c | 333.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed paiN | 41c | 312.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed paiN | 73c | 283$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 273$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed paiN | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed 3DMAX | 59c | 244$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked paiN | 71c | 212.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed 3DMAX | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed paiN | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 169.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked paiN | 69c | 164.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed 3DMAX | 34c | 119.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 116$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked paiN | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed 3DMAX | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed paiN | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed 3DMAX | 69c | 88.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX | 32c | 80.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed paiN | 40c | 72.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed 3DMAX | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…198fbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 62.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked 3DMAX | 43c | 58.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked paiN | 68c | 57.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed 3DMAX | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed paiN | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed paiN | 41c | 45.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed 3DMAX | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed 3DMAX | 73c | 27.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.