Fifa International · resolved market
Will England beat Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f92da622faa6cba3df3fb1462f55ea775fd930a196a4cbbdd2000a3eac51c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 33c | 4,709$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.71 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Yes | 67c | 4,073$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 21c | 3,400$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.17 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 34c | 1,606$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Yes | 68c | 1,591$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 24c | 1,232$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed No | 32c | 1,230$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 66c | 1,179$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.74 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…e05bbacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…725abacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…aebebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…c056backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 79c | 878.47$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…f4f1backed Yes | 66c | 725$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…c293backed Yes | 66c | 617.61$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…722fbacked Yes | 66c | 592.12$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…d33ebacked Yes | 16c | 586.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked No | 21c | 532.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…3bc2backed No | 33c | 490$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…21bebacked No | 33c | 455$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 37c | 425$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 58c | 380$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 48c | 356.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…db03backed Yes | 7c | 294.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…8992backed Yes | 58c | 290.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…0a5fbacked Yes | 66c | 275$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 66c | 259.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 32c | 195$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 75c | 181$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 33c | 173.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Yes | 67c | 161.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 35c | 159$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…5575backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…f1a1backed Yes | 66c | 125.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…150cbacked Yes | 67c | 100.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 50c | 78.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 68c | 56.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…6364backed No | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…cd23backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…d569backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 54c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 330 | 59.1%195 W · 135 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…8c0bbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…04e3backed Yes | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England beat Senegal?this page
- Will England vs. Senegal end in a draw?No won
- Will Senegal beat England?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.