Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal beat England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a893dea6700ae21c4721532ecb53127796dcadffeba1f642a75176cfd050141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 76c | 7,620$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.91 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 21c | 3,694$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 21c | 3,608$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.73 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 18c | 2,955$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 2,806$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 65c | 2,769$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 12c | 2,252$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.45 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 77c | 1,840$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 15c | 1,635$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.54 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 11c | 1,269$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 14c | 1,038$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.95 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…4c80backed Yes | 12c | 975$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 903.45$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.39 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 12c | 562.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.57 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…8632backed Yes | 18c | 141.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +464.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 14c | 110.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 12c | 99.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…d569backed Yes | 78c | 68.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal beat England?this page
- Will England beat Senegal?No won
- Will England vs. Senegal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.