CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Nemiga vs. HEROIC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c6b24ce4da3af699a3f8da1e662fda9b0100c162ef79954ca85ce56f488a93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Nemiga | 30c | 6,678$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.28 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked HEROIC | 71c | 2,966$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.76 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked HEROIC | 70c | 2,670$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked HEROIC | 69c | 2,554$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.02 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HEROIC | 69c | 2,483$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.88 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nemiga | 30c | 2,301$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.78 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked HEROIC | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed HEROIC | 24c | 1,656$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nemiga | 63c | 1,307$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.77 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed HEROIC | 2c | 953.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Nemiga | 32c | 912.5$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nemiga | 31c | 889$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.19 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked HEROIC | 2c | 880$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed HEROIC | 79c | 756.25$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Nemiga | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HEROIC | 5c | 659$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nemiga | 63c | 630$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed HEROIC | 24c | 451.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked HEROIC | 70c | 450$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed HEROIC | 22c | 447$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Nemiga | 43c | 413.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nemiga | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed HEROIC | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed Nemiga | 31c | 309.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed HEROIC | 70c | 308.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Nemiga | 15c | 301.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Nemiga | 35c | 280.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nemiga | 32c | 254.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed HEROIC | 75c | 253.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Nemiga | 30c | 242$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga | 65c | 233.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…8d7dbacked Nemiga | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked HEROIC | 70c | 168.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nemiga | 34c | 159.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nemiga | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed HEROIC | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…2bdfbacked HEROIC | 71c | 149.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed HEROIC | 71c | 140.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked HEROIC | 40c | 136$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked HEROIC | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed HEROIC | 69c | 125.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Nemiga | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed HEROIC | 69c | 72.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Nemiga | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed HEROIC | 73c | 68.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…38b1backed HEROIC | 70c | 62.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Nemiga | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed HEROIC | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked HEROIC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…ab71backed HEROIC | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…0cfabacked Nemiga | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Nemiga | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…d8e2backed Nemiga | 65c | 38.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…c82fbacked Nemiga | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Nemiga | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nemiga | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed HEROIC | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked HEROIC | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.