MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb18f10540e9e548a2f25817e5104f3f196fba5bf8091a0dc5c1611ccaa36e2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Angels, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Angels | 63c | 57,364$36,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,409.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 35c | 29,549$10,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,292.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 41c | 14,651$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.9 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 73c | 11,622$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels | 42c | 7,802$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.89 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 42c | 6,080$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 58c | 5,367$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 4c | 4,560$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 57c | 3,547$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.19 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Angels | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 60c | 3,313$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 65c | 2,369$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Angels | 25c | 2,260$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Angels | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 58c | 1,905$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Angels | 31c | 1,769$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.43 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 59c | 1,694$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.48 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 57c | 1,681$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.6 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Angels | 53c | 1,346$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Angels | 10c | 1,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 17c | 1,327$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Angels | 11c | 1,313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Angels | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 41c | 999.93$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Angels | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Orioles | 69c | 951.13$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Angels | 28c | 920.39$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.53 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 46c | 818.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Angels | 29c | 797.2$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Angels | 43c | 795.35$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Angels | 14c | 707.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Orioles | 59c | 688.96$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Angels | 41c | 665.74$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 7c | 662.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Angels | 52c | 659.48$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.95 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Angels | 28c | 604.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Orioles | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 41c | 499.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Angels | 41c | 482.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Orioles | 65c | 476.35$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Angels | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Angels | 42c | 471.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 48c | 439.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Orioles | 59c | 420.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 58c | 385.69$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Angels | 6c | 382.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Angels | 16c | 346.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 25c | 302.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Orioles | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels | 45c | 286.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Orioles | 53c | 263.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 61c | 238.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Angels | 40c | 231.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Orioles | 59c | 224.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Angels | 7c | 203.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Orioles | 35c | 200$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Angels | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Angels | 35c | 188.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Angels | 50c | 182.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Orioles | 52c | 176.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Angels | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Angels | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Orioles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Angels | 13c | 158.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 80c | 156.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Orioles | 70c | 155.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 58c | 155.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Orioles | 43c | 149.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 57c | 146.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Angels | 56c | 141.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 16c | 120.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Angels | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…27debacked Angels | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Orioles | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Angels | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Orioles | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Angels | 51c | 97.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Angels | 48c | 93.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 44c | 92.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Angels | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Angels | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 41c | 80.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 42c | 80.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Angels | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Angels | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 16c | 69.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Angels | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Angels | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 58c | 49.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Orioles | 59c | 49.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Orioles | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.