CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a89978fd8f82885c3024fa9a2a92bc55cc1aa102bf796d69ebbb2e43cefeb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 21,063$10,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,667.57 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked FURIA | 50c | 13,769$6,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,856.04 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 52c | 7,092$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.06 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FURIA | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.13 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA | 45c | 1,818$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,553$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,532$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.04 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…c871backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,156$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 951.38$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed FURIA | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 721.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 680$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked FURIA | 54c | 614.84$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.19 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FURIA | 74c | 611.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 565$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 533.68$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 491.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked FURIA | 50c | 454.07$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed FURIA | 80c | 445.16$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed FURIA | 80c | 372$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed FURIA | 53c | 312$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 268.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 267.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 250.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 247.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d38…1a5dbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 187.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked FURIA | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked FURIA | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed FURIA | 66c | 118.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed FURIA | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…05a0backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 50c | 93.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…729bbacked FURIA | 75c | 66.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed FURIA | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked FURIA | 58c | 52.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed FURIA | 53c | 34.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…d6e3backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…c566backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.